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nl50: AQs nl50: AQs

08-09-2008 , 04:22 PM
Poker Room skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50

Stack sizes:
UTG: $60.76
UTG+1: $24.50
MP1: $58.90
Hero: $50.75
MP3: $49.75 ( 13\7 )
CO: $50.65
Button: $47.75
SB: $7.31
BB: $21.50

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP2 with A Q
UTG calls, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.5, MP3 calls, 4 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: 5 7 A ($8.25, 3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $6.25, MP3 calls, UTG folds.
Or check turn better?

Turn: 6 ($20.75, 2 players)
Hero bets $16, MP3 raises all-in $41, Hero ??
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 04:43 PM
You need 25.1% equity to call.

A guy with these stats is limping smaller pocket pairs, suited connectors, and medium-strength aces.

Board: 5c 7d Ac 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 58.368% 47.52% 10.85% 460 105.00 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 41.632% 30.79% 10.85% 298 105.00 { 77, 55, AQs-AJs, 9c8c, 7c6c, AQo-AJo }

Board: 5c 7d Ac 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.045% 34.09% 07.95% 150 35.00 { AdQd }
Hand 1: 57.955% 50.00% 07.95% 220 35.00 { 77, 55, AQs-AJs }

The turned flush draw gives you a lot of equity, you're getting great odds, call.
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 04:48 PM
Well, against his tightest possible range (AA, AK, 77, 55), you need 3.4-1 on the turn. As played, you're getting 3.11-1 on a call. Personally, I don't think it's ever too bad to get it in in this spot, given how drawy the board is, especially for 100 BB's. You're looking at (at worst) 8 outs if your opponent has a set. Even more if he has a weird two pair (67ish, which I doubt based on his stats, but you didn't tell us how many hands it was over). Also, how aggressive is this player once he's in a pot?
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 05:15 PM
Thumpy, agressiv stats: 9/oo/0.5 150 hands and no notice...
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 05:51 PM
Very easy all-in.

If you're behind you still have lots of outs to improve + you're getting excellent price..
He's probably rring AK and AA pre and he raises all his sets on the flop.

If you're behind it's probably AK but it's not the end of the world.
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 06:57 PM
more players slowplay set in this situation.
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 07:01 PM
close call given that you have the FD. Easy fold without it.
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 07:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eventus
more players slowplay set in this situation.
Nits dont.
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 07:11 PM
A lot of the time yr TP arent strong enough here!
nl50: AQs Quote
08-09-2008 , 09:36 PM
Ok, big thanks.
I call and he had 77...suka
nl50: AQs Quote
08-10-2008 , 03:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eventus
Ok, big thanks.
I call and he had 77...suka
And then you got there, hopefully.
nl50: AQs Quote

      
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