This gets pretty weird to solve, since we have no idea what the ranges look like here realistically.
Here's GTO Wizard's BB vs SB 4bet calling range, no one is playing anything even close to this imo.
I ran some solves with different ranges and different allowed bet sizes, here's what I found out:
- My sims prefer to bet large on the flop, especially with the Ad we prefer betting 50-150% pot always.
- If I only allow a 33% pot bet my sim is range betting flop.
- Sim prefers barreling turn rather large, to set up stacks for river.
- We're checking sometimes on the turn: about 20-40% depending on ranges ; but not as often with AdKx
- Sim is never betting small on the turn with AdKx, it's actually almost never betting small
- River strategy changes drastically depending on ranges
- It seems the more likely villain is to have a high overpair the more often we're turning our AdKx into a bluff
- So the less AA-QQ villain has in their range, the more it is just checking AdKx