Winamax - €0.20 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
BB: €24.36
UTG: €38.58
Hero (UTG+1): €34.19
MP: €19.70
MP+1: €8.55
LP: €31.16
CO: €8.00
BTN: €8.10
SB: €20.73
SB posts SB €0.10, BB posts BB €0.20
Pre Flop: (€0.30) Hero has Q
A
UTG calls €0.20,
Hero raises to €0.80,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold, BB calls €0.60, UTG calls €0.60
Flop: (€2.50, 3 players) 9
Q
9
BB checks, UTG checks,
Hero bets €1.25,
BB raises to €4.00,
fold,
Hero calls €2.75
Turn: (€10.50, 2 players) 3
BB bets €6.00, ???
Vilains stats:
UTG: 54/17/40 (111 hands)
BB: 15/10/39 (271 hands) raise on flop: 0% (0/18), turn bet 13% (3/23).
My image: except CO who is loose (51/17/48; 47 hands) other players are either nit or players with stats like 25/5 who fold too much on flop so I'm playing quite aggressive, stealing blinds and CBetting any frightning flop. When I R PF I think BB think I have a good hand (I'm EP) but when I CB flop he may have noticed I CB any high card flop.
On flop I think these hands are not in BB range:
QQ+: he would have 3B PF OOP
9x: he would not have call OOP
99 is in his range but a bluff is more likely that's why I call.
Moreover I don't think he would raise a full or a quad here.
But when he bets again on turn, I'm really surprised. I think I have to call though because it's probably a bluff.
After analyzing the hand alone I also think maybe he PF he didn't 3B QQ+ to keep UTG in the hand.
Any help is welcome.