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08-11-2014 , 06:07 PM
#1
bfsrh
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centurion
Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 142
Villain is a regular, his squeeze is 8.1% in 4k hands.
I believe, that its ok to call TT pre in this situation. But how to react to his flop cbet?




    Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #29571351

    CO: $3.95 (39.5 bb)
    Hero (BTN): $10 (100 bb)
    SB: $12.65 (126.5 bb)
    BB: $15.96 (159.6 bb)
    UTG: $12.44 (124.4 bb)
    MP: $10.14 (101.4 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with T T
    UTG raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, CO calls $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, SB folds, BB raises to $1.85, 3 folds, Hero calls $1.55

    Flop: ($4.65) 9 8 4 (2 players)
    BB bets $3.33, Hero ???




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    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-11-2014 , 08:01 PM
    #2
    misterloki's Avatar
    misterloki
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    journeyman
    Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 200
    Call and see the turn card. He will probably cbet the turn with air some percentage of the time if it is a non connecting overcard to the board, so in that case you could probably call again on the turn and see the river. If he continues betting on a blank turn card that is lower than a 9 or 8 you probably could just fold ott.
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-12-2014 , 06:42 AM
    #3
    bfsrh
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    centurion
    Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 142
    But if I call only 49bb left in my stack. It is not a shove or fold spot on the flop?
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-12-2014 , 07:40 AM
    #4
    Patje90
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    veteran
    Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 2,708
    You have 4k hands but the only stat you use to make the decisions is sqz % ??

    I would just jam pre. But there is a big leak in your game if you don't use stats correctly when you have a large sample.
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-12-2014 , 12:30 PM
    #5
    misterloki's Avatar
    misterloki
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    journeyman
    Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 200
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by bfsrh
    But if I call only 49bb left in my stack. It is not a shove or fold spot on the flop?
    Oops. didn't really process stack sizes. Yeah i think you're right about it being shove or fold otf. You have a ton of stats on this guy, right? If you think he is capable of cbetting this flop with air then a shove would be good, otherwise you could probably just fold.
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-12-2014 , 12:38 PM
    #6
    christianoe
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    Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 17
    If we fold this flop its a pretty easy fold preflop i think.
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-12-2014 , 01:04 PM
    #7
    oldschool_vegas
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    grinder
    Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 563
    what's your plan when calling preflop? If we're calling we're definitely shoving/calling flops with all unders.

    I guess he has 77+, AQs, QKs and AK in his squeeze range.
    there's lots of scare cards on the turn, I think we should just shove now.
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-12-2014 , 06:01 PM
    #8
    bfsrh
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    centurion
    Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 142
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Patje90
    You have 4k hands but the only stat you use to make the decisions is sqz % ??

    I would just jam pre. But there is a big leak in your game if you don't use stats correctly when you have a large sample.
    What else do you need? His cbet oop in 3bet pot is 80%(40)
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
    08-12-2014 , 06:09 PM
    #9
    bfsrh
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    centurion
    Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 142
    Thank you guys for thoughts. Now i rethink this hand and I see that shoving on flop is the best choice
    NL10 w ante TT Quote
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