Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.50(BB)
HJ ($51.59)
CO ($49.15)
BTN ($51.67)
HERO ($51.59)
BB ($106.12)
UTG ($58.10)

Dealt to Hero: J Q

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $1.25, HERO Raises To $4.75, BB Folds, BTN Calls $3.50

Hero SPR on Flop: [4.68 effective]
Flop ($10): A K 7
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $4.75 (Rem. Stack: $42.17), HERO Raises To $14.25 (Rem. Stack: $32.59)

Probably a bit loose, and I thought in theory I probably need a BDFD to make this solver approved, but I thought villain would button click with a bunch of medium strength hands that can't withstand a raise. Too deep in the leveling game?

Villain has reg-ish stats over a very small sample. In theory I'm probably supposed to c-bet fairly large right? Is a x/r range even a thing in theory here? I'm also aware that I'm probably supposed to be raising larger but I figured villain's calling range is probably fairly inelastic and I want a cheap bluff if I can, so is this exploit OK? Or is it even an exploit, not sure what the x/r sizing is supposed to be with this SPR. Thought it's also defensible because the board is dryish and my value range wants to milk them

Theoretically they never have AA,KK or AK and we do so F what the solver say

Actually i see this flop in completely opposite way. Btn won't stab too thin for value Kx has very little incentive to bet 99 and 7x are too weak to bet, so he is quite polarized to Ax+ and bluffs esp with 1/2 sizing.

I think I just like the 1/3 flop bet here. You have the nut advantage so I’d just bet and try to take it down.

yeh.

probably pure tripling this combo.

Yes, this flop tends to favor the raiser, though we could go more polarized. There will be raising and folding.

I would have cbet flop, not x/r. This is a cbet situation for our range.

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem 0.50(BB)
HJ ($51.59)
CO ($49.15)
BTN ($51.67)
HERO ($51.59)
BB ($106.12)
UTG ($58.10)

Dealt to Hero: J Q

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $1.25, HERO Raises To $4.75, BB Folds, BTN Calls $3.50

Hero SPR on Flop: [4.68 effective]
Flop ($10): A K 7
HERO Checks, BTN Bets $4.75 (Rem. Stack: $42.17), HERO Raises To $14.25 (Rem. Stack: $32.59), BTN Folds

With nut advantage and range advantage I think we would choose a large sizing and c-bet flop because villain's range that continues will be fair amount of an ace or king, so with our best made hands we would want to size up and c-bet flop since he would not fold his kings or aces to a big flop bet , then obv we balance with adding in draws aswell. props on having the guts to make these plays.. definitely where the growth comes from.