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KQo, good bluff candidate? KQo, good bluff candidate?

05-30-2023 , 01:29 AM
BTN: 120.42 BB
SB: 104.38 BB
BB: 213.44 BB
UTG: 172.2 BB
Hero (MP): 275.94 BB
CO: 302.48 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K Q

fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 2 6 4
BB checks, Hero bets 2.74 BB, BB calls 2.74 BB

Turn: (10.98 BB, 2 players) T
BB checks, Hero bets 10.22 BB, BB calls 10.22 BB

River: (31.42 BB, 2 players) 9
BB checks


- I think flop is a mix having Qh. If anyone thinks this is a pure check, I'm not arguing.
- Once we c-bet flop, I think we have to barrel this turn, targeting 77-99, 6x and some suited Ax like A5ss, A3ss etc.
- I'm not sure what combos I'd be targeting on the river as a bluff. I don't expect sets in his range, I don't expect Tx in his range unless it's TsXs (T9ss).


If we can eliminate sets, and some flushes, I still have the over pair advantage and having Qh blocks some of his flushes. So, with that being said, based on blocker and villain's passive play on flop/turn, is this a good bluffing candidate?
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-30-2023 , 02:08 AM
I don't even really like your flop cbet as BB is supposed to Donk lead a bunch here so if you nodelock to never doing that you check back way more and probably just range X back,

Turn sizing doesn't make sense, it's too big. You are targeting 6x mostly and 77/88 so go 1/3 or 1/2 instead.

River, well we already made his range insanely strong with cbet flop + almost PSB turn bet on flush complete so maybe just go huge here and try to blow him off 77-99 with a heart or something. I'd 2x pot it if I bet.
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-30-2023 , 08:50 AM
If this pool allows you to cbet this flop, then i would be definitely afraid to barrel river against this pool...
+1 to what DDP said
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-30-2023 , 12:37 PM
You might be overbluffing this spot if you bluff here. You should have ATo pure here pre and some A9o, so you are going to have piles of AXo with Ah. And you should have KTo pre, so piles of KX with Kh. But solver likes KJo with the Jh more, which probably only has slightly better blocker properties, so you probably aren't too far out there with this hand. I mean, it is going to be hard for him to call you enough here to punish you from overbluffing if you go like 2x-3x pot here.

Flop I would probably bet smaller and mix checks because he has range and nut advantage. Turn sizing is kind of big for a flush completing turn, 75% pot seems better. Cheaper price on your bluff.
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-30-2023 , 08:16 PM
Thanks for the reply!

@DDP and @Mlark on a dynamic board, doesn't our sizing on the flop and/or turn need to be on the bigger side?

I understand having nut adv allows us to bet bigger, in this case I don't have the nut adv, however, isn't villain capping himself by xc twice?

AP, hero have up. I think I ran out of hands to target by the river and the only positive thing going for me was having Qh.

Sent from my Pixel 7a using Tapatalk
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-30-2023 , 08:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Balerion1
Thanks for the reply!

@DDP and @Mlark on a dynamic board, doesn't our sizing on the flop and/or turn need to be on the bigger side?

I understand having nut adv allows us to bet bigger, in this case I don't have the nut adv, however, isn't villain capping himself by xc twice?

AP, hero have up. I think I ran out of hands to target by the river and the only positive thing going for me was having Qh.

Sent from my Pixel 7a using Tapatalk
OTT? No it should be small because you want to bet more hands than just flushes.
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-30-2023 , 10:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
I don't even really like your flop cbet as BB is supposed to Donk lead a bunch here so if you nodelock to never doing that you check back way more and probably just range X back,

Turn sizing doesn't make sense, it's too big. You are targeting 6x mostly and 77/88 so go 1/3 or 1/2 instead.

River, well we already made his range insanely strong with cbet flop + almost PSB turn bet on flush complete so maybe just go huge here and try to blow him off 77-99 with a heart or something. I'd 2x pot it if I bet.
I don't know at whatever stakes but as far as what I've looked at people are donking and folding to cbets just fine
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-31-2023 , 01:29 PM
flop is fine because we have a heart, but xb is also good.

Turn is too big because we are betting more than just flushes

Otr we want to go big or x

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KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote
05-31-2023 , 06:59 PM
My data has oop players overfolding to flop cbets after checking and overcalling double barrels after checking the turn. Which makes sense as pop is getting to the turn with a stronger range. Particularly they're folding a lot of OCs that GTO would call on the flop
KQo, good bluff candidate? Quote

      
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