Villain is playing 45/7 with an aggression factor of 1.7. My UTG raise with KQo is loose, but it was only to isolate the complete maniac to my right, who plays 95/3 over 10k hands. It was also 5-handed. I think my flop raise and turn bet is fine (though I'm not sure why I bet so small on turn - I think between 7-8 is better. Was 9-tabling at time so maybe didn't look closely enough at the pot size) with all my equity against their ranges
I have a very good ready on villain, so I'm like 90% sure he has a low flush or straight when he pushes all in on Turn. I called here but after analyzing I think I'm not good here given my pod odds. I'm getting 2.3 odds on the river, and I think I have 13 outs (any heart, K, or Q) + 3 or 4 % equity for the 10% of the time he doesn't show up with low flush or straight - which puts my total equity around 25-30%, right?. Villain doesn't have Ace high flush because he would raise the flop 100% of the time.
Am I looking at this hand correctly?
Full Tilt Poker $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
Powered By DeucesCracked.com
BTN: $24.00
SB: $67.25
BB: $16.60
Hero (UTG): $36.90
MP: $19.55
CO: $28.20
Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with Q
K
Hero raises to $0.85,
2 folds, BTN calls $0.85,
1 fold, BB calls $0.60
Flop: ($2.65) 9
6
Q
(3 players)
BB bets $0.75,
Hero raises to $2.55, BTN calls $2.55, BB calls $1.80
Turn: ($10.30) K
(3 players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $5,
BTN raises to $20.60 all in, BB folds, Hero calls $15.60