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KQ - 2 Pair with Nut Redraw.  Getting Good enough Pot Odds? KQ - 2 Pair with Nut Redraw.  Getting Good enough Pot Odds?

07-19-2008 , 09:41 AM
Villain is playing 45/7 with an aggression factor of 1.7. My UTG raise with KQo is loose, but it was only to isolate the complete maniac to my right, who plays 95/3 over 10k hands. It was also 5-handed. I think my flop raise and turn bet is fine (though I'm not sure why I bet so small on turn - I think between 7-8 is better. Was 9-tabling at time so maybe didn't look closely enough at the pot size) with all my equity against their ranges

I have a very good ready on villain, so I'm like 90% sure he has a low flush or straight when he pushes all in on Turn. I called here but after analyzing I think I'm not good here given my pod odds. I'm getting 2.3 odds on the river, and I think I have 13 outs (any heart, K, or Q) + 3 or 4 % equity for the 10% of the time he doesn't show up with low flush or straight - which puts my total equity around 25-30%, right?. Villain doesn't have Ace high flush because he would raise the flop 100% of the time.

Am I looking at this hand correctly?


Full Tilt Poker $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $24.00
SB: $67.25
BB: $16.60
Hero (UTG): $36.90
MP: $19.55
CO: $28.20

Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with Q K
Hero raises to $0.85, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.85, 1 fold, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.65) 9 6 Q (3 players)
BB bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.55, BTN calls $2.55, BB calls $1.80

Turn: ($10.30) K (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $5, BTN raises to $20.60 all in, BB folds, Hero calls $15.60
KQ - 2 Pair with Nut Redraw.  Getting Good enough Pot Odds? Quote
07-19-2008 , 01:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jefscott
My UTG raise with KQo is loose, but it was only to isolate the complete maniac to my right
This is incorrect, when talking about isolating someone it refers to the fact you raise after they have acted in order to end up in a HU pot with them. You raise, thinking they'll call, knowing the people behind will probably fold, in order to isolate them.

Regarding the hand: I'd maybe raise a little more on the flop in order to charge draws to see the turn. I really don't like b/f such a strong hand on the turn, so either b/c or check and decide what to do. I'm not really sure why you are betting the turn (will you fold a K high flush on the river? Are you expecting draws to call/worse made hands etc?).

Call seems ok, looks like a made flush/possibly a set scared of another heart, you still might have the best hand though.
KQ - 2 Pair with Nut Redraw.  Getting Good enough Pot Odds? Quote

      
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