PokerStars,
Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG: $3.98 (199 bb)
MP: $2.18 (109 bb)
CO: $1.99 (100 bb)
BU (Hero): $2.00 (100 bb)
SB: $2.18 (109 bb)
BB: $2.08 (104 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with J
♦ T
♦
2 players fold,
CO raises to $0.04,
Hero 3-bets to $0.12,
2 players fold, CO calls $0.08
Flop: ($0.27) Q
♥ J
♥ Q
♦ (2 players)
CO checks,
Hero checks
Turn: ($0.27) 9
♣ (2 players)
CO bets $0.26,
Hero calls $0.26
River: ($0.79) 5
♠ (2 players)
CO bets $0.38,
Hero calls $0.38
What type of range do we give villain on the turn when he bets pot?
is it standard to bet pot like this with a Queen? what is he trying to represent? I have a picture here with flopzilla showing when he bets turn our hand has 33% equity versus his range, does this mean its an easy fold?
Even if we include villain betting his gut-shots and weak pairs our hand is way behind to his range. Villain has 3 of a kind 41% of the time!? Does this seem accurate?
We could remove some AQ's I guess but he still has a bunch of 3 of a kinds. thoughts?
The river was a brick so I figured If I thought I could be ahead of random Tx bluffing I could still be ahead , after thinking about the hand and reflecting it seems he may not have that many Tx maybe he has AT,KT,T9 and T8 on the turn. We are losing AJ,KJ,QJ so it seems like we are not ahead of too much here.
Here's a picture of his range on the turn. let me know what you think.
Last edited by Donkeybets; 09-25-2021 at 08:07 PM.