Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
I did manage to get a little over 800 hand samples but it's still not enough. I think you are correct in that AK is always a call here, it's too big of a deviation like you said.
I've been studying MDA in 4bet pots recently and the sample size issue keeps coming up, I think we can probably only use MDA in these spots to nudge us in a direction if it's close in a solver.
TY for being a voice of reason
I think we can get far into the weeds here about this spot, but we can also use common sense. How often are regs XR a paired board to setup a 1/2 pot sized turn shove as a bluff?
But regarding sample sizes... I can tell you from selling a HUD for many years, and the stats that people want in their HUDs, that most of the poker population doesn't understand std deviation in hand sample sizing. People want stats on things like, XR river in 4-bet pot on low paired board. How will you ever get a big enough sample for that stat to be relevant?
800 hand sample isn't near big enough to draw valid conclusions unless the data skews really heavily one way or another.