Gross River Spot 10NL Blitz - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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Gross River Spot 10NL Blitz

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01-14-2020 , 07:08 PM

DooDooPoker

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 19,482

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
HERO ($10.32) [VPIP: 25.5% | PFR: 22% | AGG: 33.7% | 3-Bet: 11.1% | Hands: 182954]
SB ($11.80) [VPIP: 29.3% | PFR: 15.2% | AGG: 15.4% | 3-Bet: 7.1% | Hands: 93]
BB ($10.25) [VPIP: 32.1% | PFR: 21.4% | AGG: 41.7% | 3-Bet: 8.3% | Hands: 28]
UTG ($16.75) [VPIP: 40% | PFR: 31.7% | AGG: 24% | 3-Bet: 13% | Hands: 62]
HJ ($5.78) [VPIP: 12.7% | PFR: 5.6% | AGG: 16.7% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 73]
CO ($9.31) [VPIP: 27.6% | PFR: 24.1% | AGG: 75% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 29]

Dealt to Hero: A

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, HERO Raises To $0.28, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.18

Hero SPR on Flop: [16.34 effective]
Flop ($0.61): 7

BB Checks, HERO Checks

Turn ($0.61): 7

BB Bets $0.40 (Rem. Stack: 9.57), HERO Calls $0.40 (Rem. Stack: 9.64)

River ($1.41): 7

BB Checks, HERO Bets $1.05 (Rem. Stack: 8.59), BB Raises To $3.63 (Rem. Stack: 5.94), HERO ?

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01-14-2020 , 07:17 PM

ionutd

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 13,624

he pulled a ddp on ya
I'd call

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01-14-2020 , 07:47 PM

FreakDaddy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 19,220

Fold.

Is it exploitable that you're considering folding the higher end of your range here, yes.
Are players going to exploit it enough for it not to be profitable to fold, no. Just my two cents based on what's I've seen.

You don't have enough hands on him either. If you had a solid 2k+ hands and those were his stats, I'd consider calling. It would be much closer at that point.

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01-14-2020 , 08:22 PM

bailashtoreth

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 2,326

I think i would have raised turn instead of betting otr. Not that it's the best idea, i just think it might be better. A is all over your range and bb checked flop.

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01-14-2020 , 09:24 PM

avro_504

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2019 Posts: 250

call river

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01-14-2020 , 09:26 PM

avro_504

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2019 Posts: 250

Quote:

Originally Posted by bailashtoreth

I think i would have raised turn instead of betting otr. Not that it's the best idea, i just think it might be better. A is all over your range and bb checked flop.

I disagree, by raising turn I think we are going to get V to fold hands we can keep in and get him to barrel river with

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01-14-2020 , 09:58 PM

Curtlow

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,383

This is the best hand you can have. If you fold this, you're folding 100% of your range.

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01-14-2020 , 10:13 PM

bailashtoreth

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 2,326

Quote:

Originally Posted by avro_504

I disagree, by raising turn I think we are going to get V to fold hands we can keep in and get him to barrel river with

If villain folds to 1 bet after hero checks flop, hero can exploit the crap out of him. Villain should know this hits hero's range, so bet folding is terrible.

Edit: villain should not be betting an A. It brings no draws. It's likely villain has one if he's betting here.

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01-14-2020 , 10:29 PM

DooDooPoker

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Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 19,482

Quote:

Originally Posted by Curtlow

This is the best hand you can have. If you fold this, you're folding 100% of your range.

I can have AA sometimes.

But yeah I'm not saying this is a fold but folding 100% of your range is fine sometimes. Especially when player's aren't good enough to exploit.

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01-14-2020 , 10:46 PM

#10

291

adept

Join Date: Feb 2017 Posts: 897

Problem is that it's actually pretty hard for you to have bluffs in this spot so his raise is quite strong. Similarly I am not convinced villain manages to find many bluffs in this line to balance out his value.

The only reason it could be weak is you will have some hands that won't bet yourself on the river but would call a river bet so x/raising value is a bit suspect from villain. But if he thinks you just auto bet all your Ax then he is incentivised to x/raise value obvs

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01-14-2020 , 11:59 PM

#11

FreeAgentX

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2019 Posts: 75

ez fold vs most villains. his sizing is huge.

i'd be betting river more around 1/2p letting myself call raises much easier n getting value vs more hands while also allowing more of their x/folds to now become more x/raises vs such a smaller sizing.

gl.

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01-15-2020 , 12:31 AM

#12

kvnd

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 2,277

Quote:

Originally Posted by Curtlow

This is the best hand you can have. If you fold this, you're folding 100% of your range.

Any ace of clubs or Ax9h etc is better than this

AK with Kh is better

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01-15-2020 , 01:45 AM

#13

DooDooPoker

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 19,482

Pretty mixed so far.

I'll post results in a little.

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01-15-2020 , 02:33 AM

#14

Megapots

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 16

I’d call here.

Yes, you effectively only have one pair and are being raised on the river but his line throughout the hand makes zero sense.

You have shown little interest in the hand until the river, massively under representing your hand, so when checking the river he can’t have any logical confidence that you’d want to bet - surely if he had a monster he’d lead river given that you’ve not bet a single street in position?

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01-15-2020 , 05:27 AM

#15

andreicos

old hand

Join Date: May 2019 Posts: 1,250

we can probably raise the turn at some decent frequency.

River is really close, it's a pure call in theory, but people generally don't x/r bluff enough otr. I'd still call.

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01-15-2020 , 08:48 AM

#16

291

adept

Join Date: Feb 2017 Posts: 897

He could have A5 as a bluff.

Such a weird hand as I would expect his bluffs to mostly come from 5x but what 5x does he lead turn with? Pretty much only A5 really that then realises when facing the river bet it's behind...

Think you gotta call, gotta see this one

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01-15-2020 , 09:01 AM

#17

Iblis

veteran

Join Date: May 2016 Posts: 3,360

I'm snapcalling.

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01-15-2020 , 11:16 AM

#18

Flpmethntsdlr

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 3,936

The creativity of some Vs to bluff like this is quite rare and ill-advised at these stakes considering you are never (or very rarely) bluffing otr. V can't expect this to work as a bluff that often so I'm liking fold. Can't blame you if you called.

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01-15-2020 , 11:30 AM

#19

D-Beat

banned

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 3,009

Why is Villain checking?

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01-15-2020 , 11:31 AM

#20

D-Beat

banned

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 3,009

This hand makes my head hurt. Good post, ddp.

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01-15-2020 , 01:20 PM

#21

xamlop

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 1,412

The lead on the turn is very bluffy, he's supposed to check his entire range on that card imo so that's enough of a reason to call river (and he has the stats of someone able to find them bluff spots).

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01-15-2020 , 01:26 PM

#22

D-Beat

banned

Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 3,009

Quote:

Originally Posted by xamlop

I think average Villain is betting any A or 7 ott with airbluffs

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01-15-2020 , 05:38 PM

#23

Unsporting

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2015 Posts: 4,479

Ez for 7x, boats and quads to bet turn here. His x is pretty nice OTR. I guess we fold but easier to say that on here rather than ig. When are results ddp

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01-15-2020 , 05:46 PM

#24

Iblis

veteran

Join Date: May 2016 Posts: 3,360

My money are on villain doing this with 33/44/66.
It would be a decent line to be honest.

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01-15-2020 , 06:13 PM

#25

DooDooPoker

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Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 19,482

Quote:

Originally Posted by xamlop

He isn't supposed to range check but when he does bet he is supposed to overbet because he is saying he has an Ace beat.

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