Quote:
Originally Posted by zachvac
There actually is a gto somewhere, just no one knows it.
Thank you zachvac
and that's what i'm trying to get at.
Why is everyone so quick to write this off?
There also has to be a default
Is it that hard to imagine that you play ten hands with a guy who is MRing every bttn without getting a specific read on him? Maybe no hands have been shown down and he seems to be taking pretty standard, solid lines but your not really sure. Maybe you've played with this guy before and his game is always evolving or changing post flop (he could be new, expirmenting, like to shift gears, or just playing drunk 1/2 the time) but you just don't have a good read on him other than: he MR's bttn 100%
OK, the people who have been in the conversation from the other thread KNOW what I'm asking. for the rest;
I'm just looking for a starting place. I believe (with very little certainty) that I have a decent one. Just imagine you are programing a poker bot. What will it's default setting be for defending vs 100% MR frm Bttn?
You HAVE to have a default when programing a bot unless you want to input a billion different algorithms.
so, you are readless
or solve for GTO
or what is the starting point from which you deviate
or if you had to stick to exactly one strat for defending vs 100%BttnMR for the rest of your poker life...etc,etc,etc
if you don't know then you don't know. you could still tell me if you think my strat looks OK or not. But please try to avoid "it depends", I know it depends and I know i will have to adjust for each opponent but I also KNOW there is a GTO solution and that there has to be SOME kind of guidlines for defending your BB vs MR.
Does my strat look totally wrong for one reason or another or does it seem OK?
OK, in responce to the Q7o and suited Queens. I get that they are not easy to play but let me just explain where my range came from;
I looked at the Equity vs Random hand for all the paint cards down to ten and found the smallest kicker suited/unsuited that will give us better than 50% equity vs random hand. If you drop below T as your high card you will never be there. So all the hands in my range have better than 50% vs random hand. Q7o, though difficult to play post flop Will be a favorite vs random hand, so will Q6s. My thinking is this; if I am getting 3 to 1 then I can call with anything that is likely to be a favorite vs button even though i am OOP.
Why;.. I will hit the flop with Q7 about 1/3 of the time. He could hit as well and I might have the second best hand, however, that door swings both ways and because i have 52% or so (and probably have the best hand to begin with) it will be at worst a wash (when we both hit the flop some of the time) and in fact I will just barely usually be the one who makes the better hand when my opponent and I both hit the flop (when I have Q7). Now consider also that I only NEED to end up profitable one flop in 4 to call with 3 to 1 pot odds and calling a player who will min raise with any two cards starts to look OK to me (with Q7).
I mean, there is definately a huge edge for being in position but is it really beyond 3 to 1?
Let's look at a toy game quickly
Imagine players A and B start with 100 chips each with player A always getting the button and player B always being OOP post flop.
Player A, on the bttn, must put 3 units in and player B, OOP, must ante only one unit. The preflop action is skipped entirely and the action starts at the flop.
Who will the edge go to? assume they are equall skilled. Which player will win?
I am not at all sure and think its a very close call. If the 3 to 1 handicap is a perfect balance against playing OOP then it will make sense to enter a pot when you get 3 to 1 and have at 51% equity OOP.
I think i'm being fair, but if I'm underestimating the edge of position then that's where its at. If i'm overestimating the positional edge enjoyed by the dealer then it stands to reason that we should be calling whider than my range.
So, that's what I'm thinking. I mean there are surely players who would never call a MR OOP with Q7o, and I don't think they are wrong but I think (if my opponent MR's every button) Q7o is at the very bottom of a continuing range. I doubt there would be much difference in overall profitability/lack there of if you dropped that hand as I feel it is a very mediocre call. Same with Q6s and T9o. But you have to draw a line somewhere and that's where I drew mine.
Am I missing something, totally off base, maybe onto something?
Who wins the toy game?
Any advice at all would be helpful. I feel like I am making some headway on a problem that completely escaped me just a couple weeks ago but I'm doing 95% of it by myself and I don't know how much faith I have in my conclusions. Now you see where my logic is coming from so any thoughts on this would be helpful.
Thanks in advance for your input.