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12-15-2012 , 10:36 AM
Hi guys,

i have very little info on the villain, only 30 or so hands. could be fish, reg, or anything in between. stats were like 30/20 or something.

i folded because this board is so monumentally dry he's doing this only with an overpair or a set, right? in which case i'm beating only 99 and losing to everything else, and i have zero fold equity if i decided to try to push him off the pot. historically at 10nl in spots like this i would have just said screw it and carried on with my overpair, but i think that was probably a leak.

what do ppl think?

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    IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #14997281

    BB: $10.35 (103.5 bb)
    UTG: $6.02 (60.2 bb)
    Hero (MP): $18.29 (182.9 bb)
    CO: $10 (100 bb)
    BTN: $5.22 (52.2 bb)
    SB: $10 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with T T
    UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.40, CO folds, BTN calls $0.40, SB calls $0.35, 2 folds

    Flop: ($1.40) 8 4 3 (3 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $0.90, BTN folds, SB raises to $2.05, Hero folds




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    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 11:11 AM
    in the 30 hands, has he raised any cbets? could he do this with something like 65? a8?
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 11:44 AM
    he had one opportunity to raise a cb which he didn't take, according to hem. i honestly couldn't speculate as to whether he'd make this play with the hands you mentioned, i would just guess most players i come up against at 10nl on this site wouldn't.
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 11:44 AM
    I call once here IP reevaluate turn. He can have hands like 65,77 or A8 or just random cr w air.
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 11:50 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Rebuild
    I call once here IP reevaluate turn. He can have hands like 65,77 or A8 or just random cr w air.
    yeah i thought about this at the time for a little while, there are a lot of unfriendly turn cards for my tens though aren't there?
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 12:50 PM
    yeah too many bad turns. we dont know what his frequencies/tendecies are like and its one of those hands where you are hoping things go your way so you can GTSD and its really easy to make mistakes in situations like that.

    i dont think we are being exploited in a vacuum folding here either so I wouldn't call flop but just ditch it.
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 01:10 PM
    think ur giving him alot of credit , just a smooth call in the sm cant see him having a bigger pair , i would call and let him bet the worst hand (most of the time)
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 02:10 PM
    Fold no info.
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 02:41 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Rebuild
    I call once here IP reevaluate turn. He can have hands like 65,77 or A8 or just random cr w air.
    which means hoping for him to shut down?

    fold without any info
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 02:48 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by mrpeach
    which means hoping for him to shut down?

    fold without any info
    if your going to fold that hand then what are u going to call with ? think u can beat more hands than hands that can beat you ,

    i would rule out a overpair, so there are 3sets that beat you and hands you can beat are any top pair , an open ended or even 2nd pair ,
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 02:54 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by mildodanny
    if your going to fold that hand then what are u going to call with ? think u can beat more hands than hands that can beat you ,

    i would rule out a overpair, so there are 3sets that beat you and hands you can beat are any top pair , an open ended or even 2nd pair ,
    problem is we dont even know if hes a fish or reg. If hes a reg this flop hits his
    OOP ccalling range so hard, because the regfish generally flat nothing but 22-TT OOP.

    He hits his set-> raise
    He doesnt hit> call as long the board runs out low
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 02:59 PM
    Come on even bad regs can have a8,89 here and 66,77,99? As well as draws and most of it will shut down OTT, I m pretty sure this is a call.
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 03:05 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by mrpeach
    problem is we dont even know if hes a fish or reg. If hes a reg this flop hits his
    OOP ccalling range so hard, because the regfish generally flat nothing but 22-TT OOP.

    He hits his set-> raise
    He doesnt hit> call as long the board runs out low
    i cant agree on the only hands hes going to raise is a set , even with a "8 "why wouldnt he raise then fold , in other words "see where hes at"
    (am new here whats a regfish ?)_
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 03:44 PM
    regfish = bad reg.

    so many turn cards are bad for my tens though, soooo many. we really are hoping for a shut down, and hoping for any event is not a sound strategy for winning money.

    the whole situation just smacked of a leak for me if i carried on. he bets turn fat, i fold etc.
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 03:47 PM
    I think it's fine, you don't really know this opponent so I think it will only lead to high variance for you to continue here.. Just wait and see whom you're playing against and you will be able to determine the best way to go further down the road. I guess it's nitty but whatever :P
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 03:59 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Hainesy_2KT
    regfish = bad reg.

    so many turn cards are bad for my tens though, soooo many. we really are hoping for a shut down, and hoping for any event is not a sound strategy for winning money.

    the whole situation just smacked of a leak for me if i carried on. he bets turn fat, i fold etc.
    its going to be a tricky hand i would make 3 calls since i have the best hand most of the time (3sets ,twopair v anytop pair and a semi bluff) even if a overcard comes still call , if anyone intends to folding tens there then why not limp and wait until u have more info on everyone before you start raising
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 04:05 PM
    I think folding is fine.
    Quote
    12-15-2012 , 04:08 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by mildodanny
    if anyone intends to folding tens there then why not limp and wait until u have more info on everyone before you start raising
    because regs x/r these boards 20% at most and just call the other 80%
    Quote

          
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