PokerStars,
Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker
UTG: $2.01 (101 bb)
MP: $0.91 (46 bb)
CO (Hero): $2.14 (107 bb)
BU: $2.07 (104 bb)
SB: $1.96 (98 bb)
BB: $2.00 (100 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is CO with 5
♥ 7
♥
1 fold, MP calls $0.02,
Hero calls $0.02,
2 players fold, BB checks
Flop: ($0.07) 5
♣ 5
♦ 2
♦ (3 players)
BB checks, MP checks,
Hero bets $0.04,
BB folds, MP calls $0.04
Turn: ($0.15) 9
♦ (2 players)
MP checks,
Hero bets $0.07,
MP raises to $0.24,
Hero calls $0.17
River: ($0.63) J
♣ (2 players)
MP bets $0.61 (all-in),
CO (Hero) folds
Villain had stats of VPIP 45/ PFR 9 / AF 0 (11 hands)
I decide to limp behind because the table was passive, I didn't think I would get raised too often and I didn't mind playing a limped pot IP versus a presumed fish with a broken stack. I know I don't have a ton of implied odds but I decided to play.
On the flop I try to start building a pot, Villain calls. I think V's calling range can be
any A4,A3,A2, 22-88, maybe some big-cards that wanted to peel one like JT,QJ,AT,AJ etc.
On the turn I bet and get raised, whats this guys raising range? if he's a broken stack isn't there a decent chance this can be spew with a good diamond ? villain can probrably have a ton of Ad hands in his range I have him calling flop with a ton of Ax hands.
Villain's value range would be 99,22,A5 type hands and turned flushes.
Maybe he can be over-playing A9, or has a semi bluff with a good diamond?
Against this range if we include the Ad semi-bluffs and overplayed A9 we have 64% equity. The problem is villains stack will be small once we call and I feel like maybe this is a push or fold spot? wasn't quite sure. I call and Jc comes on the river. Villain open shoves here. We are getting 2:1. We don't have much stats on villain but his AF was 0 over 11 hands. I heard villains are under-bluffing at these stakes but have found some villains in particular will do bluff quite a bit. Do we give villain the benefit of the doubt at fold river because we have small sample size to make any clear conclusions about his range here? I decided to fold and figured he had the flush or better.
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