Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Is this extreme of a swing common? Is this extreme of a swing common?

10-30-2010 , 06:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
SO I ****ING MOVED DOWN TO 25NL TO RECOUP AND LOOK AT THIS LITTLE GIFT A FEW HANDS INTO THE SESSION
Brb burning a kitten alive in the center of a pentagram
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com
Hero (Button) ($27.93)
SB ($33.52)
BB ($9.41)
UTG ($20.44)
UTG+1 ($11.93)
MP1 ($2.90)
MP2 ($5.27)
MP3 ($33.17)
CO ($25)
Preflop: Hero is Button with J, J
4 folds, MP3 calls $0.25, CO (poster) checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, MP3 calls $1, 1 fold
Flop: ($4.25) J, 7, 3 (3 players)
SB checks, MP3 checks, Hero fail
Turn: ($4.25) 6 (3 players)
SB bets $2.25, MP3 calls $2.25, Hero raises $6 - hero finaly woke up, but raise extremly small (I know, you dont want frighten him), 1 fold, MP3 calls $3.75
River: ($18.50) 4 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero should have here nice builded pot and have only few BB left to shove and get maximum value
Total pot: $18.50
Results:
Hero had J, J (three of a kind, Jacks).
MP3 had 5, 9 (flush, nine high).
Outcome: MP3 won $17.60
This hand show key problem in your game - your problem is not you have bad run and lose pots, get coolers etc. You play terrible and dont make value. And when you dont Vbets you strong hands, dont wins maximum BBs as possible, you cant hold against dark side of variance. Thats all.
10BI is standart, full ring have small winrates => possible larger swings/BE. Just play better, play more, dont tilt, and it will turn back.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 06:56 AM
Just woke up this morning crabby after a -8BI night. These are the pep talks I needed today. Thanks for making me feel a bit better. Think positive, make good decisions and keep chugging...

In the words of Spongebob, "Iiiiiiiiii'm Ready!"
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 09:29 AM
dont have my graph here at work, but my in my first 50k hands i never swung down more than prob 7-8bi. then bam a 20bi or so downer. it happens. its standard. part evolving as a player is learning to deal with the variance. a 10bi downer making you sick to your stomach tells me you that you don't have very realistic expectations.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 09:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerarb
OP you will either get used to this or have to quit poker... one or the other
this one exactly.... :-)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
SO I ****ING MOVED DOWN TO 25NL TO RECOUP AND LOOK AT THIS LITTLE GIFT A FEW HANDS INTO THE SESSION

Brb burning a kitten alive in the center of a pentagram

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Hand Converter from HandHistoryConverter.com

Hero (Button) ($27.93)
SB ($33.52)
BB ($9.41)
UTG ($20.44)
UTG+1 ($11.93)
MP1 ($2.90)
MP2 ($5.27)
MP3 ($33.17)
CO ($25)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J, J
4 folds, MP3 calls $0.25, CO (poster) checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, MP3 calls $1, 1 fold

Flop: ($4.25) J, 7, 3 (3 players)
SB checks, MP3 checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($4.25) 6 (3 players)
SB bets $2.25, MP3 calls $2.25, Hero raises $6, 1 fold, MP3 calls $3.75

River: ($18.50) 4 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero checks

Total pot: $18.50

Results:
Hero had J, J (three of a kind, Jacks).
MP3 had 5, 9 (flush, nine high).
Outcome: MP3 won $17.60
this is not a cooler or anything like that....you just played the hand horrible post flop and got what you deserved....just stop trying to play tricky at the micros...it won't work. this is like those idiots that min3bet AA pre and then pot flop and wonder why they either win a small pot or get stacked 100bb.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 09:45 AM
lost 5 bi tonight omgah
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 09:53 AM
I had bigger swings than this yesterday. And that JJ hand makes me want to cry. ZOMG it's a tarp.

How the hell does anyone play 6 tables of full ring? What do you do to keep awake, watch two movies and cook dinner at the same time?
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 09:55 AM
I only 9 table tbh. It's not that bad.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:06 AM
Since you only play a few tables as I do, and you are using a 20BI roll, then standard BRM is to move down if you lose 5-6 BI's (not half your roll). So you weren't using standard BRM for a 20BI roll, and you probably tilt off way more than you think. If you are to the point of having to break some expensive headphones when you quit then yes, you were on tilt for awhile before reaching that point. Tilt doesn't go from zero to off the charts suddenly.

By the way the 20BI BR thing comes from years ago before people really multi-tabled. Nowadays people who mass-table use 50-100 BI's. I play 4-5 tables and use ~30BI's.

Garon
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Logic of Sense
I had bigger swings than this yesterday. And that JJ hand makes me want to cry. ZOMG it's a tarp.

How the hell does anyone play 6 tables of full ring? What do you do to keep awake, watch two movies and cook dinner at the same time?
I read and post on 2+2 to keep awake, ldo

Garon
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkDonkDonkDonk
I only 9 table tbh. It's not that bad.
Isn't that because your computer sucks? I can kind of imagine 9, but 6 is a whole different prospect. I guess you tile. If I played that few stacking I'd just be randomly clicking stuff on the second monitor and just get totally distracted.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:14 AM
Yeah my computer is a pile of poo. I need a new lappy.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:17 AM
OP: Play some PLO for true soul-crushing swings.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:20 AM
To Logic: I get tons of reads that people who mass-table just can't see because they aren't there to see them. I take loads of notes, for example if villain shoves on me I know exactly how many times he has shoved this session and what his hands were on shoved pots and exactly how he played each one of them. Someone playing 24 tables may not have even seen villain shove once and now he's in a dilemma. I see so many threads giving some basic stats on villain followed by "no reads". I know everything that happens at every table of mine for every hand and have multiple notes on lots of people. All of that takes up my time so it isn't so boring. Of course my hourly isn't near as much as someone who mass-tables.

Garon

Last edited by Garon; 10-30-2010 at 10:23 AM. Reason: I love the game too! Keeps it intrinsically interesting for me
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ach ja
9BIs isn't even a swing ffs.
This, seriously if you're tilted when you lose 9 buy-ins it probably means you're not going to be comfortable making high-variance plays that are +ev which means that you'll have a worse winrate which means, wait for it, worse downswings. All a vicious cycle yo.

But seriously most regs have had 30 buy-in downswings in their careers, so if you can't handle 9 that's first thing to work on. Being results-oriented is not good as hard as it is to get away from.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 10:55 AM
10-15 buyin downswings are not that uncommon. They suck when they happen but you're going to have to get used to it.

Let me show you an actual 50NL downswing:



35 bi downswing. If 9 bi is going to set you off wait until this happens to you.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 11:39 AM
i feel so better about my game right now!

not for you op i am thought the same situation as you are, and i was depressed also.

time to grind IMO
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 01:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Garon
To Logic: I get tons of reads that people who mass-table just can't see because they aren't there to see them. I take loads of notes, for example if villain shoves on me I know exactly how many times he has shoved this session and what his hands were on shoved pots and exactly how he played each one of them. Someone playing 24 tables may not have even seen villain shove once and now he's in a dilemma. I see so many threads giving some basic stats on villain followed by "no reads". I know everything that happens at every table of mine for every hand and have multiple notes on lots of people. All of that takes up my time so it isn't so boring. Of course my hourly isn't near as much as someone who mass-tables.

Garon
I don't disagree with what you say; however, a few assorted general thoughts:

- people playing 24 tables with a very marginal win rate is very stupid. It stunts their growth and their possibility of developing a very good hourly. The game progresses, but they don't.
- however, I also thinks it's a leak at full ring to not be able to multi-table (I'm thinking 10-16) effectively. Following all the action closely is a great way to learn in general, but in terms of improving your game it would be much more effective at HU or 6-max, where people are forced to play more marginal holdings and get in tougher spots. Many FR players at low stakes do very little that's interesting or worth studying in too much detail. IMO the appeal of FR is partly that you can brute force your way to a decent amount of cash; i.e. even at 50nl you can grind out $50 an hour or so.
- playing say 14-16 tables, which is my preference, doesn't mean you can't make notes and develop reads. I often pull tables out the stack and check big hands, make notes on non-standard things, etc. You can do plenty of work in HEM away from the tables. Sure, it's no substitute for closely following the action, but it's definitely not pure HUD-botting.

I guess in conclusion I think it's good to strike a balance, and also be able to switch up and down the number of tables you play as mood dictates. It's good to be able to simultaneously progress your game, but also progress your bankroll sufficiently that you can feel comfortable moving up, etc. I suspect that the best players at full ring strike this balance.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 02:56 PM
I wish I could play more tables, seems like every time I try my graph plummets into Hades.

I agree with all your points, and I'll keep trying every so often to add more tables! Maybe one day I'll get there.

Garon
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 03:12 PM
OP post some hands maybe some of us can spot something.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 03:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Searix
i'll trade you -1200 650 of it under ev in 20k
Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
at 50nl??
25 actually
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 03:57 PM
Since the spirit of this forum is to aid our fellow player who takes the time to interact in some fashion to be able to reach their potential and to try to discover something we are all missing, what are we all procrastinating about but not doing? What I mean is it "appears" due to growth of the site or willingness of micro players to interact that many more players are experiencing huge BE stretches than in the past. 70k BE stretch, 150k BE stretch, what are we all doing(or not doing) to create this?

I'm just of the mentality that we have to tell ourselves this is standard or going to happen to be able to play. But is it? 10 years ago playing 10,000 hands in a week was considered epic, now players exceed that per day. Even though the long run is a really long time, players are playing more hands then players of generations past.

Apologies for the long-winded babble,

cliffnotes: Why does it appear the more we learn the more breakeven we become?
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 04:01 PM
because games get toughter, we try moves that fail etc
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 04:02 PM
Poker has become tougher, technology is better allowing people to play more hands etc.
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote
10-30-2010 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
50nl
I have a stop loss rule so barely any of this is from tilt.
you say that this is "barely from tilt" all these things you posted clearly show you're on tilt.

tilt is anything where you're playing less than your A game.

I would recommend doing some study on tilt control... tommyangelo.com/ or his series on DC, the Eightfold path to poker enlightenment.
The Poker Mindset is also widely talked about, although I haven't personally read it myself.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
I can't even begin on how sickening, literally, this has been... so many horrid beats... such a short time frame. Also smashed a nice pair of headphones after the last set over set.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
This swing has beaten my will to the ground.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
I actually feel a little insane after some of this ****
Quote:
Originally Posted by Its Sick
SO I ****ING MOVED DOWN TO 25NL TO RECOUP AND LOOK AT THIS LITTLE GIFT A FEW HANDS INTO THE SESSION
Is this extreme of a swing common? Quote

      
m