Quote:
Originally Posted by halftilt
When I said I needed explanation, I really meant that... please walk me through this step by step for this specific example, because to me the two cases being considered both look like TPGK/TPTK on a moderately coordinated board (you didn't even mention suits) and I'm too focused on this similarity to understand the differences or their importance.
alright, lets try this again. We have:
A9 - 973
KQ - Q73
Lets talk about the A9 hand first:
On A9 we have TPTK, which is a good hand. But on the turn, any T, J, Q, K can be a tough card to play. sometimes it will hit our opponent's hand and give them a better pair. sometimes it will miss our opponents hand, but act as a scare card. Even an A, which is good for our hand, can be one of those "good/bad cards" because it makes a stronger hand for us, but scares our opponent from paying us off.
Also, this texture isn't very definitive. plenty of hands can float this flop and feel comfortable. 88, 55, even 44 can feel pretty safe here given the no broadway card texture (hell, even gutshots with a hand like 65 can continue here). So a bet here can prove to be very outright profitable given the worse hands that can happily continue
Lets talk about the KQ hand:
When we have KQ on Q73 we have TPGK, which is a good hand. But on the turn, the only hell card is an A. Again, we can make the argument that a K acts as the "good/bad card", but even still, that is only 2 cards that can hit the turn that make hell (so 4 A, 3 K, for 7 bad cards, which will come up ~14% of the time on the turn. As oppose to the 4 T, 4 J, 4 Q, 4 K, and 3 A for 19 bad cards, which will come up ~38% of the time in the A9 example).
Also, the KQ hand is much more definitive, especially given the texture. Hands like 66 or 44 probably won't always feel comfortable floating this fllop. They may if we check, they may also bluff if we check. All we know is that the board is less mistake prone than the 973 board. Mostly because we can get crushed in the minimax game checking the 973, but will pretty much never get crushed in the minimax game checking Q73 (because we want a 2 street hand with TPGK most of the time anyway).
In the event you don't know what minimax is: Minimax is a game theory decision in which a player tries to minimize his losers and maximize his winners. Anytime we are losing more with our losers and winning less with our winners than our opponent, we are getting crushed by the minimax game.
that help? (btw, this was all written like 22 seconds after i woke up...so if it a pinch sloppy, my fault)
Last edited by *Split*; 07-31-2010 at 03:58 AM.
Reason: mistype