Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
That's the crutch of your argument though, that we aren't exploiting. But we are exploiting- just on the river. The whole paradigm of the strategy is to play balanced OTF/OTT and then deviate on a street where it is most beneficial.
You are assuming that your exploit's OTF (which will leave you very vulnerable on later streets) will out gain in EV a balanced OTF/OTT but exploit river strategy. But decision's OTF mean much less than decision's OTR. We are forgoing small EV gain's OTF to get larger EV gain's OTR.
We also have the added benefit of not getting wrecked by playing a completely imbalanced strategy. If you start trying to push flop exploit's and an opponent figures out what you are doing - you will more than likely play 3 street's incorrectly.
If an opponent figures out what I'm doing - I play 1 street incorrectly.
I think you misunderstand what an imbalance is to some extent
In anon, since there are not reg vs reg dynamics, adjustments and counteradjustments, imbalances can only lose to pool if you take the "anti-exploit" line, which is the line with the frequencies that your opponents would naturally be playing well against. If you play a fully imbalanced range that exploits your pools tendencies, there is no physical way for them to make that money back since they don't know who you are and how you play.
What you advocate is pretty good for sn sites, where reg vs reg dynamics can last months, and there is value on keeping your strategy concealed. In this situation though, what matters most is not that you RNG everything, although RNG will definitely help. What matters if that you are paying attention to your overall range percieved frequencies and actual frequencies.
For example, if turn is very drawy and our opponent realises we have a lot of draws we can choose from for bluffing, what matters is not necessarily that we RNG every draw, but that we recognise the fact that we are going to get stationed because of how our percieved range looks like and compensate for it in some way. RNG is a good way of doing this.
For flop, RNG is alright whenever you don't have any other read, but keep in mind, pure strategies on the flop are actually very hard to exploit.
I've tried to manually construct cbetting ranges on the flop without mixing, so pure betting or checking hands, and the EV loss is actually very small, comparable or smaller than things like simplifying to range bet.