Quote:
Originally Posted by Soopafly_NL
I've had a on/off relationship with poker since 2004 and thus I keep around the microlimits. I'm not sure when's the last time you seriously played microstakes but in my experience the days that the total donks who hold any 2 cards form a majority are over since quite some time. At least at PS. Sure they are still there, but I'm experiencing now there's a whole lot less of them than there used to be. Most of them seem to put atleast some thought to their play. Logical evolvement due to all the information available, like these forums. It was a true donkfest at the start of the online pokerhype but now I think one shouldn't think too lightly about the level of play down there. And I'm not seeing much action on flops with a scary texture.
Still, thanks for the postings!
I felt the same way when I was moving up (only a few months ago). I would ask, why is everyone telling me that 90% of players are ******s when this isn't the case at all? The thing is that those 10% of players are where your real profit is when you're just beginning. I can't speak for 2NL because I personally skipped it, but at 5NL and 10NL it's true that huge fish are not the majority. However, they are where the money lies. With the 'regs' (no one should ever become a 'reg' at below 50NL in my opinion, at least anyone wanting to improve) you aren't going to make much money. Why? Because they're playing like you are. Exploitable weak tight. You'll trade coolers and likely stay out of each others' way. When you're playing the fish, you'll make your money.
You can't start making nice profits from regs or exploiting regs until you're much better at poker than this guide covers. In fact, I would say (and
suggest) that you don't play back or get fancy against regs until you are making a profit over a large sample (50k hands), are at at least 25NL and have at least 500 hands on an opponent that you play with often. Fancy play syndrome (FPS) is one of the biggest killers of your profit margin out there. In fact, I myself am having issues at 50NL for this exact reason. 50NL is a little different, but you get the point. Fancy play at the micros is just not good.
You can play exploitable weak tight poker at 25NL and below and make money. From what I've heard you can actually probably do this until 100NL. The reason for this is two fold. Firstly, your exploitable play can only be exploited by someone who knows how to do so. 98% do not. Secondly, your opponents (aside from regs) are very bad and that's where your profit lies long term. Your decent play against their bad play spells money for you in the long term.
Let's say you're at 25NL, have followed this guide and are making decent profits and are learning to play decent poker. You notice someone you've seen at the tables frequently and have about 750 hands on him. He's running 14/12 and seems to be a pretty weak tight nit. Every time you get a hand against him and bet or raise the turn, he folds. Every single time you flop a set, he is check/folding the flop or cbetting and then giving up. You notice this (over the course of
750 hands remember, not 100) and decide that he is likely playing much like you. He raises from MP and you have any two cards. Nits are in the blinds and you're on the BTN. You call and he bets the flop. You have absolutely nothing, and you call. He checks the turn. If you bet, he folds 99% of the time. So you do, and he does.
You will eventually start to do things like the above example, but again I can't stress enough not to do it until you meet ALL of the conditions. You have to have a large sample on him. You have to know from personal experience what his tendencies are, and you really should be making a nice profit so that if your plan backfires (say he had an OP in above example and he shoved over your turn bet) you aren't going to worry about it. You tried to steal, he had it this time, and you move on.
Fancy play syndrome is really bad, and following this guide will ensure that you don't get the urge to play fancy. It's detrimental until you're at the right spot (and level) with your poker game and that is when you start to really learn poker and play. Even so, the large part of the time you're going to be playing standard, straight forward poker. The above example is something you'll want to do against that opponent once every 200 HU pots you play with him, or something similar. You don't do it often, otherwise you have FPS. Technically you want to push this type of opponent until they try to adjust (which they usually fail at, which is +EV for you) or until they play back, but I only recommend that when you're very, very comfortable with the game of poker and can recognize the subtleties involved with table image, game flow, and that sort of thing.
This post has been way too long, but I know that most players at the micros aren't ******ed whales. But that's where you make your money. You don't make your money from the 14/12 guy who only stacks off with overpairs. You make your money from the fish, so learn how to reap the fat value first,
then start getting to work on the thin value (from regs).