PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 5 players

UTG: $5.97 (119 bb)
CO: $5.00 (100 bb)
BU: $5.00 (100 bb)
SB (Hero): $5.00 (100 bb)
BB: $5.84 (117 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is SB with 8♣ J♣
3 players fold, Hero raises to $0.10, BB calls $0.05

Flop: ($0.20) 6♠ 8♠ 2♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.10, BB calls $0.10

Turn: ($0.40) 9♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.19, BB calls $0.19

River: ($0.78) 8♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.23, BB raises to $1.50, Hero ???


Can a call here be profitable? Not many combinations that beat us would raise. I think only a lower set, and not always. Two pair probably not. What about bluffs? Rarely with As. Though at these stakes, it's often not likely to be vs 3 barrels.

Bigger pre.
You need to check ott. Bet bigger otr.

5NL rfi SB 2x:
need fold eq to pure profit 0,61
fold equity from my hm3 (301hands): 39,5%

5NL rfi SB 2,4x:
need fold eq to pure profit 0,66
fold equity from my hm3 (214hands): 49,5%

Can it be understood that way? 10% more fold equity. With only 6% more required with pot odds to BE.

5NL rfi SB 3x:
need fold eq to pure profit 0,72
fold equity from my hm3 (254hands): 51,8%

You need to revisit this.

It's not just about preflop pot odds, it's about how much EV can be made out of the entire range.

As an OOP sb, can I get more out of ev? I previously used minraise because I felt I wasn't playing well enough, and it was more profitable to rely on steal equity.

How are you calculating your break even (auto profit) thresholds?

(open raise-small blind)/(open raise+bb).

I don't mean that for a 2b I have an autoprofit. Just that it is closer to BE, or at least that is what I thought. Because now it seems to me that the 2.4 is better.