Back to back sessions at 5-5 500 max buy in NL @ Star city in sydney in the last 4 days have made me aware of one (of many i'm sure) leak in my game and as a casual player (75 - 100 sessions a year) I am trying to improve my thinking about this spot. Of the two hands in question, the second hand (from last night) highlights better my faults so i will describe that in detail.
A little table background. Most stacks are in the 500 - 2000 range with many of the players appearing to have been sat for quite a while. Several are regulars although the villian is not. I have bought in for max and folded all but the blinds in the first 2 orbits, partly because of rubbish cards and partly because in my time playing there, the game is very loose and aggressive (I tend to be too nitty at times and it is something i am trying to work on - i try to use this nit-ness to open a wider range as the session progresses generally).
Now to the hand. 9 handed
UTG folds
Villian (UTG + 1) limps
Folds to CO
CO raises to 25
Button (Hero) calls 25
SB folds
BB calls
Villain calls
Flop comes A
Q
2
Checks around to me
Hero bets 105
Villian calls very quickly (at this point i put him on clubs and i thought he likely has the Q
)
Everyone else folds
Turn comes K
Villian shoves
Hero open folds A
A
Villian shows Q
2
Putting the hand on paper i can't believe i folded but at the time i thought the only hand he could have other than a made flush at this stage is AQ offsuit with the Q
and i thought if he had that hand he would have raised my flop bet.
Now i think about it he probably thought he was milking my AK or similar holdings on the flop and decided to test the waters with a shove on the turn thinking anything but a flush i am going to fold (and he was right).
Is this a spot where i just have to call with the thinking that a made flush wouldn't shove like that? The more i think about it i think his line is spot on for AoQ
and i think the fact it was actually the q
2
is just an annoying distraction from the larger problem with my own line.
The second hand that exposed my leak was 2 nights before. I again flopped top set, in this case jacks, on a 2 to the flush flop. The pot was 320 and i led 275 into it with the jacks and got a predictable fold from all. I think i overbet to scare off the flush draws and lost value.
Put together it points out a huge problem i have playing strong hands on draw heavy boards. Is it a case of me being too negative and always assuming they have it? That's what it feels like but i have never considered myself that kind of player and with smaller holdings i think i would have played both hands differently and more profitably.
Any advice or ripping apart of my play is welcome at this point as it is likely no where near as harsh as i what i have been thinking myself.