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@@@*** April 2015 - Goals / Progress / Results Thread ***@@@ @@@*** April 2015 - Goals / Progress / Results Thread ***@@@

04-27-2015 , 01:34 PM
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

MP2 ($25)
MP3 ($24.05)
CO ($21.65)
Button ($25)
SB ($35.99)
Hero (BB) ($56.03)
UTG ($14.17)
UTG+1 ($29.12)
MP1 ($40.70)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, K
UTG raises to $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, MP2 calls $0.50, 1 fold, CO calls $0.50, 1 fold, SB calls $0.40, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $7.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $30, UTG+1 calls $21.62 (All-In)

Flop: ($60.24) J, 9, 10 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: ($60.24) J (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($60.24) 5 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $60.24 | Rake: $3

Hero had K, K (two pair, Kings and Jacks).
UTG+1 had Q, 7 (one pair, Jacks).
Outcome: Hero won $57.24
@@@*** April 2015 - Goals / Progress / Results Thread ***@@@ Quote
04-29-2015 , 09:17 AM
thread of the year by far
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04-29-2015 , 11:50 PM
ok i guess i'm finishing for the month. did ok playing a mixture of 5nl and 10nl, got some decent volume in, but is my redline normal?




i understand having negative redlines isn't necessarily a leak, but i'm losing at close to 10bb/100 from non-showdown winnings...do you think i need to defend the blinds more? i'm currently 85% fold to steal

Last edited by mottotom27; 04-29-2015 at 11:56 PM.
@@@*** April 2015 - Goals / Progress / Results Thread ***@@@ Quote
04-30-2015 , 12:57 AM
Played terribly this month and really have no inclination to study to do any better.
Going to get drunk and play some MTTs for the next few days.
Epic bink on the way.
Awful to say but I'm only really enjoying playing poker when I'm slightly drunk lately.
Sober and I couldn't think of anything I want to do less.
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04-30-2015 , 02:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mottotom27
i understand having negative redlines isn't necessarily a leak, but i'm losing at close to 10bb/100 from non-showdown winnings...do you think i need to defend the blinds more? i'm currently 85% fold to steal
Can't see the pic. I don't think -10bb red line is necessarily a problem, as long as your blue line is more than +12bb. But 85% fold to steal is definitely a problem. If you and your clone are in the blinds you have a combined fold to steal of 72% so BTN can even 3.5x ATC and still auto-profit.
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04-30-2015 , 04:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mottotom27
ok i guess i'm finishing for the month. did ok playing a mixture of 5nl and 10nl, got some decent volume in, but is my redline normal?




i understand having negative redlines isn't necessarily a leak, but i'm losing at close to 10bb/100 from non-showdown winnings...do you think i need to defend the blinds more? i'm currently 85% fold to steal
Looks like you tried to link to an email you received...
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04-30-2015 , 05:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cangurino
Looks like you tried to link to an email you received...
that's weird, it shows up fine on my computer...
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04-30-2015 , 05:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mottotom27
that's weird, it shows up fine on my computer...
That's because you are logged into your gmail account, and I'm not.
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04-30-2015 , 05:17 AM
oh ok...i'll try again lol



did it work this time?
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04-30-2015 , 05:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordRiverRat
Can't see the pic. I don't think -10bb red line is necessarily a problem, as long as your blue line is more than +12bb. But 85% fold to steal is definitely a problem. If you and your clone are in the blinds you have a combined fold to steal of 72% so BTN can even 3.5x ATC and still auto-profit.
yea good point, and i knew this but i kinda felt i just had to "give in" to the button lol. so what's a good fold to steal stat, 75%? also i feel like i might not be winning enough pots preflop, since my PFR is only 10% and 3bet 3% (i play full ring but even still...) do you think these stats could be another reason my redline is bad?
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04-30-2015 , 07:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mottotom27
did it work this time?
It did.
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04-30-2015 , 11:06 AM
wasnt aware april had 46 days in it or am i missing something because i cbf reading the entire page.
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04-30-2015 , 11:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CRP90
wasnt aware april had 46 days in it or am i missing something because i cbf reading the entire page.
where'd you get the 46 from??
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04-30-2015 , 12:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mottotom27
where'd you get the 46 from??
the picture i saw said days played : 46 unless im blind and it says 4.6 days
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04-30-2015 , 12:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mottotom27
yea good point, and i knew this but i kinda felt i just had to "give in" to the button lol. so what's a good fold to steal stat, 75%? also i feel like i might not be winning enough pots preflop, since my PFR is only 10% and 3bet 3% (i play full ring but even still...) do you think these stats could be another reason my redline is bad?
Obviously depends on the size of the steal. But probably like 70%? Your PFR is kinda nitty but if that's your style it's OK if your VPIP isn't like 15%. Also you're almost 6bb on this sample. So chill.
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04-30-2015 , 12:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CRP90
the picture i saw said days played : 46 unless im blind and it says 4.6 days
oh...lol i see where you're going wrong. thing is in new zealand we treat "days" as 2/3 of the american day (we discount 8 hours because of something related to the blackness of the sky at night causing a lapse in the circadian rhythm and hence is not included in our definition of "day"). If you want to find out more read Humphrey and Bigott, 1998, The Dilemma of the Daily Cycle:How New Zealanders Are Different and particularly look at pages 93-96 that's probably the most relevant part.

So yea this is why it shows up as 46 which by your definition would be a little over 30 "days" which means i've only included April in my graph. I could change the settings to make the number of days in the American setting, but i think you get the picture and i don't want to confuse myself being so used to the New Zealand interpretation of the word.
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04-30-2015 , 01:00 PM
rather strange, then again you guys have the reputation of having intercourse with sheep . also gl tomorrow night in the nrl test match assuming it doesn't flood in brisbane
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04-30-2015 , 01:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CRP90
rather strange, then again you guys have the reputation of having intercourse with sheep . also gl tomorrow night in the nrl test match assuming it doesn't flood in brisbane
that's true, not something we're proud of thanks, love how just treated new zealand and australia like it's the same country
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04-30-2015 , 01:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordRiverRat
Obviously depends on the size of the steal. But probably like 70%? Your PFR is kinda nitty but if that's your style it's OK if your VPIP isn't like 15%. Also you're almost 6bb on this sample. So chill.
wow defending 30% of hands that's quite a bit looser than my CO opening range! looks like i might have to start playing hands like T9o and Q6s a bit more liberally.

yea my VPIP is 13% so the ratio is ok i think. 6bb/100 i'd be very happy with if it was for 10nl but it's not, it's skewed by my 5nl results, for 10nl i'm currently less than 3bb/100 which is mediocre at best. it would only take a small wave of variance to bring it into the negative. as you say i probs just need to loosen up a bit more
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04-30-2015 , 01:47 PM
winrate is over rated, cash money is the only thing you should worry about.
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04-30-2015 , 02:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CRP90
winrate is over rated, cash money is the only thing you should worry about.
but your winrate determines your cash money, doesn't it? i could well be a losing player at 10nl: from my current 10nl winrate of 2.5bb/100 and given my sample size, my actual winrate could conceivably be anywhere between -4 and 9bb/100.
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04-30-2015 , 02:13 PM
Results in for the month (all 25nl)



And the full results since I hit the comeback trail

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=266
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04-30-2015 , 03:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mottotom27
but your winrate determines your cash money, doesn't it? i could well be a losing player at 10nl: from my current 10nl winrate of 2.5bb/100 and given my sample size, my actual winrate could conceivably be anywhere between -4 and 9bb/100.
yes and no, volume is key when it comes to this discussion because variance plays such a role the lower your volume is.
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04-30-2015 , 04:17 PM
WR x volume = profit

GJ Husker, glad you recovered.
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04-30-2015 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by YouFaiil
WR x volume = profit

GJ Husker, glad you recovered.
Thanks.
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