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52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff 52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff

04-18-2024 , 11:12 PM
PokerStars - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 128.42 BB
UTG: 201.67 BB
MP: 155.91 BB
CO: 78.88 BB
BTN: 104.19 BB
SB: 209.25 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2 5

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 3 6 Q
Hero checks, BTN bets 1.73 BB, Hero raises to 7 BB, BTN calls 5.28 BB

Turn: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 5
Hero bets 13.9 BB, BTN calls 13.9 BB

River: (47.29 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero bets 34.35 BB

Opponent is a competent reg. Is this river bluff good or is it too loose? I barreled turn because the 5 completes the times I have 74s. I probably don't have 42s all that often, but I suppose it is possible. Either way I need some bluffs on this river, My flop check/raises are mostly going to be flush draws, gut shots, sets and two pair. On this river I arrive there with those hands. The flush draws go for value, the sets and two pair become bluff catchers and the busted str8 draws become bluffs. I don't check/raise flop with Ax containing backdoor flush draw. Maybe I should do that sometimes so that I can have better bluffs on this river. Maybe A 3x would be better for this line than 52s. Thoughts?
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote
04-19-2024 , 12:14 AM
are you splitting OTT? if your value is 2p+ then should just OB. river bluff is fine just need to size down.
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote
04-19-2024 , 03:25 AM
How are you viewed by V? If you know they are a competent reg do they think you like to bluff?
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote
04-19-2024 , 08:11 AM
Flop sizing is too big turn is too small.not sure about rivee i think you should mostly block
Hand selection and line are good.
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote
04-19-2024 , 12:57 PM
My problem with the turn bet is what are we expecting to fold that calls the XR? He either has a pair or draw and that turn won't hit too hard for them. If this hand isn't aiming for fold equity then what is it even trying to do?
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote
04-19-2024 , 01:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ceres
My problem with the turn bet is what are we expecting to fold that calls the XR? He either has a pair or draw and that turn won't hit too hard for them. If this hand isn't aiming for fold equity then what is it even trying to do?
MDA show's they don't overfold flop by much vs flop xr.

Have you seen what a solver defends with? They have a bunch of weak hands that fold OTT.

TheGodsons line is perfect. I love his turn sizing because they overcall when you use OB OTT and bet river.

Flush complete river is a great data point and overfolded.
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote
04-19-2024 , 02:08 PM
Looking at a solve I like it better. I think we can expect more flushes in BU's river range than GTO though, given they probably cbet/call that entire range OTF+T. Might node it later
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote
04-19-2024 , 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ceres
Looking at a solve I like it better. I think we can expect more flushes in BU's river range than GTO though, given they probably cbet/call that entire range OTF+T. Might node it later
I'd agree people probably have too few flush draws in their flop checking range, but if they're range betting 1/3 they end up with significantly less flush draws in their betting range than GTO

Maybe flush complete is bad when they bet flop larger?
52s check/raise flop tripple barrel bluff Quote

      
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