This is 5th hand.
3rd hand: he 3bet to $3, c/c'd $4 on As7d4s flop, donked 5 on Qc turn.
Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players -
View hand 555401
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Hero (BTN/SB): $50.25
BB: $55.25
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN/SB with 7
9
Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1
Flop: ($3.00) Q
6
8
(2 players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $2, BB calls $2
Turn: ($7.00) 2
(2 players)
BB bets $5, Hero calls $5
River: ($17.00) 8
(2 players)
BB bets $15,
Hero raises to $41.75 all in
Yes this is early but I don't think its right to only bluff strictly on reads ("find out what exactly he's donking with 1st" - well the problem is I won't know exactly what he's donking with for awhile if ever (cuz it can change), plus he already donked before this so I'm assuming he can do it with a wide range).
My thought process:
There are a lot of missed draws that I can get to fold.
He didn't 3bet preflop so QQ and high Q's should be ruled out.
88 only has 1 combo.
A8 type hands seem silly to play this way, especially because he cannot have 8dXd.
My hand looks like an 8, 99-JJ, Q, Overpair and I would think a random Q would be checking here or atleast betting smaller as its hard to get value out of worse.
My hand could easily be a missed draw so there is more value for villain to check and induce a bluff.
So the only hands that kinda make sense that is vbetting this river and calling a shove are 86s, Q8, and 66.
Is this spew and should I just stick to learning more about villain before making a play like this?
Last edited by Impact; 02-24-2010 at 12:29 AM.