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50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale 50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale

03-22-2011 , 01:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Admiral
Giving him a 20% 3 bet range he basically only has overcards on this flop (85% of the time).

I'd raise this flop and I'm very happy with the turn to get it in. I'd say it's better than giving him a free card.
FWIW this is the only reply so far that has actually taken into consideration villain's range.
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-22-2011 , 01:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrBump
I don't like the shove on the turn. No better hand is really calling. With these kind of villains / spots, it's better to closer your eyes and flat call it down to keep his range as wide as possible.

I was in a similar spot recently and I just flatted to show down and villain turned up with a weak flopped middle pair, which he would have folded to a raise IMO.

For me, calling > folding > raising.
I agree with this to some degree, I flatted pre to keep his range wide. I think the last line is the difference here. I really felt confident he would call a turn shove with worse, and I wasn't sure he would continue to fire on the river with worse. He's one of those "it ain't over till it's over" showdown monkeys.

I think both lines are fine given our specific reads, and these spots are completely villain dependent.
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-22-2011 , 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by El Nino 1
When you have a 130 hand sample, every 3bet stat you have is going to be inflated and look way bigger than it actually is. Just a thought
Agreed the sample size isn't huge but given his 3bet% and vpip both tell the same story I'm inclined to think it's pretty close to being accurate. It would be one thing if he were 17-14 and had a 24% 3bet, but everything about this guys says spewmonkey.

I think we can safely assume his real 3bet is at minimum 20%.
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-22-2011 , 04:03 PM
I think the only way I would play this is to call flop turn, and river. Pray pray no "scare card" comes. Shoving the turn is meh IMO when he will bluff most likely on triple barrel. If he had an overpair, which he can have given this line, then gg.

I understand your thinking though OP, he may be that fish that calls turn on overs
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-22-2011 , 04:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pay4Myschool
I think the only way I would play this is to call flop turn, and river. Pray pray no "scare card" comes.
And a scare card is? Anything higher than a 9? How lucky are you looking to get?!
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-22-2011 , 10:37 PM
Thanks for all your input, I enjoyed this. Here is the result.

Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

SB: $50.00
BB: $185.85
UTG: $50.00
UTG+1: $17.50
MP: $50.00
MP+1: $50.00
LP: $94.70
Hero (CO): $115.10
BTN: $43.75

SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has 9 9

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, BB raises to $6.00, Hero calls $4.50

Flop: ($12.25, 2 players) 2 7 8
BB bets $11.00, Hero calls $11.00

Turn: ($34.25, 2 players) 3
BB bets $23.50, Hero raises to $98.10 and is all-in, BB calls $74.60

River: ($230.45, 2 players) Q

BB shows A Q (One Pair, Queens) (PreFlop 45%, Flop 24%, Turn 14%)
Hero shows 9 9 (One Pair, Nines) (PreFlop 55%, Flop 76%, Turn 86%)
BB wins $227.45
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-22-2011 , 11:29 PM
damn
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-23-2011 , 12:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Admiral
Giving him a 20% 3 bet range he basically only has overcards on this flop (85% of the time).

I'd raise this flop and I'm very happy with the turn to get it in. I'd say it's better than giving him a free card.
free cards are rly useful especially deep.

i was with you 100% op until u went charlie sheen on the turn. just call and hope for the best, hes only gonna fold worse.
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-23-2011 , 12:46 AM
so he barrels his entire range and doesn't let go of any of it to a turn shove. hell, get this guy in your home game and sit immediately to his left.
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-23-2011 , 01:44 AM
screen name please? sick fish
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-23-2011 , 02:28 AM
OP i hope you re-bought right away & bad mannered him in chat & baited him into hu 4 rollz while selling all your personal belongings so you can deposit & double up your life earnings in a hr
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote
03-23-2011 , 08:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Exothermic
OP i hope you re-bought right away & bad mannered him in chat & baited him into hu 4 rollz while selling all your personal belongings so you can deposit & double up your life earnings in a hr
Dude you know he sat out the very next hand and left the table before his blind even came around.
50NL:  99 DEEEEP vs Maniac Whale Quote

      
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