PokerStars - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 100 BB
BTN: 174.7 BB
Hero (SB): 101.4 BB
BB: 107.6 BB
UTG: 100 BB
UTG+1: 100 BB
MP: 279.8 BB
MP+1: 101.5 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K A

UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, Hero raises to 13 BB, fold, UTG raises to 29 BB, fold, Hero calls 16 BB

Flop: (62 BB, 2 players) 6 2 8
Hero checks, UTG bets 29.6 BB, Hero raises to 72.4 BB and is all-in, UTG calls 41.4 BB and is all-in

Turn: (204 BB, 2 players) 5

River: (204 BB, 2 players) 7


Villain is 15/13 TAG, 3 bets 8%, 4 bets 7% (villain has shown up in the past with AJs+,AQo+, TT+, JTs) in 4b pots, but based on 4b number its probably not often enough in hindsight.

It looks like we have 50% equity vs TT+, AQo+ OTF. But when called we are doing badly, question is how many overcards does he need to have for this to be profitable.

Flop is spew

Might even fold to the 4b in this configuration

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If he's (1) 4 betting somewhat light and (2) range betting flop, it's fine

(1) is questionable given it's UTG vs SB squeeze and a 15/13
(2) B50 doesn't feel like a range bet to me, so they could be checking back a lot of their worse hands

Is that due to the tight 4b statistic?

UTG has KK+

In theory you can do stuff like this bc you need to push your equity against a range that will have some bluffs and pairs below KK, in practice you can't really. Should pry just fold pre against a 15/13, which isn't really a "TAG," they're just a nit. This person will maybe 4bet "light" in a COvsBTN spot against a more aggressive reg, but in this configuration your 3b range is already really tight

Nitty micro regs usually just have KK+, AK at the flop, and will just x behind AK every time. Some QQ is possible but that's it, the betting range is pretty just KK+. No regs really 4bet JJ-TT with these positions, and AQs should be a pure call anyway. AQo maybe possible, but I don't think it's likely

Good point. I am curious what you count as a nit or tag in full ring. I am 18/14 myself which i have considered a classical full ring tag. I tend to tag PFRs bellow 10 as nits and above as tags as long as VIP is lower than 18, and then LAGs as VIP starting from 19+ with close PFR. Where do you put your thresholds?

Probably just a fold pre, pre-flop is a bit large btw

I actually didn’t realize this was full ring - for 6 max generally anyone with a vpip under 20 is nitty. For fr you’re probably more correct, but I do think most regs at fr are playing tighter than they should even in theory, let alone in practice

But looking at the positions more closely, just snap fold everywhere lol