PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4:
http://www.pokertracker.com
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
Hero (SB): 122 BB
BB: 157.5 BB (VPIP: 60.00, PFR: 36.00, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 26)
UTG: 117.5 BB (VPIP: 19.62, PFR: 15.87, 3Bet Preflop: 5.18, Hands: 1,110)
CO: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 10.59, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 88)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 3s As
fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop : (7.5 BB, 3 players) 9s 4s 7c
Hero checks, BB checks, CO checks
Turn : (7.5 BB, 3 players) 3h
Hero bets 4 BB, fold, CO calls 4 BB
River : (15.5 BB, 2 players) 3d
Hero bets 11 BB, CO raises to 29.5 BB, fold
CO wins 36 BB
I think before the river everything is relatively standard, save for maybe this is a better 3bet in the sb than call.
At the time on the river my thinking was primarily based on the fact that Villain had an aggression factor of .33 over 88 hands. So I'm figuring that he is only raising for value and I'm thinking he has a boat. Though given that he is 29/11 over 88 hands, probably only raising 99 pre of all hands that can give him a boat. he probably limps 44 or 77. It was a tough spot at the time but I didn't think he would bluff raise at all given his AF.
In hindsight now I don't like the fold, and I think he almost certainly had 1010-AA, likely AA or KK. I think it makes a lot of sense for him to raise these for value here as my sb limping range doesn't have much here other than sets. Though I don't suspect a 29/11 player to be thinking about my range. If I had've considered overpairs at the time I probably call.
Bad Fold?