$25NL TT with a gutshot and an overpair - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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$25NL TT with a gutshot and an overpair

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08-27-2009 , 04:20 PM

dtools22

centurion

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 162

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $27.05
SB: $38.05
BB: $25.00
Hero (UTG): $26.50
UTG+1: $62.50
UTG+2: $27.70
MP1: $23.55
MP2: $23.40
CO: $26.15

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with T

Hero raises to $0.75, UTG+1 calls $0.75, 7 folds

Flop: ($1.85) 6

(2 players)
Hero bets $1, UTG+1 raises to $4.80

Not really sure what to make of this spot here. Villain is 22/9/39 through 64 hands and my gut feeling here is that his raise in all likelihood means some pair/draw combo. That being said I'm not a big favorite and even a slight dog vs that range so was you you think is the best line here? Is my read off base given the numbers the villain has?

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08-27-2009 , 04:26 PM

stranglylucid

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,588

This is a spot I have a ton of trouble with as well. I usually call then evaluate the turn. If the turn is a blank (no flush no A), I call a bet or throw out a blocking bet of half pot to 3/4 pot and take the showdown. If they can fire the third barrel and I don't improve I probably fold.

Also, you have blockers to the open ender, which makes it much easier to call.

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08-27-2009 , 04:34 PM

SpuddzMcoy

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 544

I would raise more on the flop myself, probably like 1.25 - 1.40
Recently I have been folding these spots to such a raise, even if I were to call the flop raise, there are many turn cards I don't want to see. I would end up in a harder spot than the flop. Though an eight and a jack are probably the only two cards I would like to see.

Not sure if this is the right thing to do....

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08-27-2009 , 04:36 PM

SammyG-SD

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 12,600

he is raising for protection and for value as you are repping the top of your range. I doubt if you are ahead of anything here.

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08-27-2009 , 04:47 PM

cmac99

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 369

Quote:

Originally Posted by SammyG-SD

he is raising for protection and for value as you are repping the top of your range. I doubt if you are ahead of anything here.

Agreed but I think that your ahead here a lot of the time. I can see him doing this with 88 or with a pair, fd combo. No ones going to overbet the pot like that with a set or a made str8 so he would have to have JJ-AA to really be behind here and I just don't see him flatting those hands preflop.
That being said I would probably flat call and evaluate the turn.

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08-27-2009 , 04:59 PM

SammyG-SD

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 12,600

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmac99

not sure what range you want me to assign, but I can't find anyone that we are "clearly ahead of"

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

46,530 games 0.005 secs 9,306,000 games/sec

Board: 6h 9c 7h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.803% 37.49% 01.31% 17444 611.00 { TcTd }
Hand 1: 61.197% 59.88% 01.31% 27864 611.00 { 55+, AhKh }

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08-27-2009 , 05:15 PM

WrpMission

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 147

I think this is a spot to just let it go, even if you do hit your straight you only have 3 outs because there is a chance he's on the flush draw. You should be thinking one street ahead and thinking "Can I stand another bet if I miss and if I hit my straight/trips do I feel comfortable getting it in?"

To either question the answer is no, so I'm letting this spot go and looking for a better one.

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08-27-2009 , 05:20 PM

DamnRinger

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,334

Against a player like this (his vpip being very gapped from his pfr), he is never going to barrel this board more than once without a stones throw short of the nuts. The answer against this type of villain is flat this bet, and fold to big/medium turn barrels.

These types of players are very honest in the way they play hands. He won't barrel a hand worse than TT twice. If he checks back the turn, value bet the river.

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08-27-2009 , 05:54 PM

AFchung

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 3,077

b/f 1.25 flop

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