Yeah, pretty much.
If you were deeper it becomes a fold at some point in stack-sizes.
This way you gotta snap it off getting better than 2/1.
Villain only has to bluff-jam missed draws or whatever even little less than 30% of the time which I believe is perfectly true with someone having these aggroish stats and also might jam the same hand some.
Last edited by |)r. W4ts0n; 09-03-2011 at 06:45 PM.
Reason: BLubbbB
I call because of villains stats even though it's only just over a hundred hands. I think its very likely this guy would play a draw this way. And i would be holding my breath while waiting for the result.
I think river is a mandatory call at this point, but I don't know what to think about the flop, he's got a wide range of hands and draws but you still lose to a bluff with Ax
I was planning to call the flop /w the intention to get him off the hand in later streets. Hes repping a very narrow range OTF and hes capable of bluffing. I would never call flop and c/f turn. I think I would have called turn and fold river or bet river if checked to.
Ofc I dont always float the flop like that against anyone.
For the record, I folded the river. I didnt see that I have under PSB left, so I thought he was overbetting. Sometimes I just get scared too much and fold these spots without thinking too much. 10 seconds after the hand I already regretted the fold.
Well floating a c/r on a dry flop where Villain reps nothing is certainly not bad with sufficient info.
And I believe and am almost certain that you are overestimating a couple of things:
a) the significance of the information you have
b) your ability to assign ranges
c) your ability to outplay people postflop
d) the likelyhood that Villain c/r the flop with air
e) in case d) is true Villain gives up on subsequent streets/you will have enough room to get folds
f) the level of sickness you need to beat NL25
Just because you've seen durrrr and Ivey pull these sick floats on TV, doesn't mean you can do it and/or should do it.
There's a small chance I am wrong and you had enough reason to take your line but I highly doubt it.
If you had a effective stack that had him covered then i'd be sweating in this situation, but then i realised you only had 100BBs while his AI for $51 is really just a pot sized bet to you, so call.
ofc im presuming you're floating the flop and is perfect once in a while but you cant always play like this.