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25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop 25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop

11-13-2008 , 08:36 AM
Villain is running 21/15/2 over 34 hands.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (UTG): $27.30
CO: $25.70
BTN: $38.05
SB: $33.65
BB: $25

Pre-Flop: A A dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $0.85, 2 folds, SB calls $0.75, BB folds

Flop: ($1.95) 9 5 7 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.75, SB raises to $4.50, Hero ???
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote
11-13-2008 , 09:00 AM
get it in........now
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote
11-13-2008 , 09:13 AM
Call and re-evaluate the turn.
If we get it in we are be a dog:
Board: 9h 5s 7h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.872% 29.27% 00.60% 4347 89.00 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 70.128% 69.53% 00.60% 10325 89.00 { 99, 77, 55, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, KhQh, QhJh, JhTh }

But he might be making this play with 66/88/TT or T9 or many other possible combo draws that won't be getting it on the flop. We still have good equity vs those hands.
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote
11-13-2008 , 09:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZaneKinetic
good post
My first thought was to ship it, but it seems we are looking pretty bad when called. Calling down unless the board owns us is fine i guess

Last edited by Machi; 11-13-2008 at 09:38 AM.
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote
11-14-2008 , 12:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZaneKinetic
Call and re-evaluate the turn.
If we get it in we are be a dog:
Board: 9h 5s 7h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.872% 29.27% 00.60% 4347 89.00 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 70.128% 69.53% 00.60% 10325 89.00 { 99, 77, 55, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, KhQh, QhJh, JhTh }

But he might be making this play with 66/88/TT or T9 or many other possible combo draws that won't be getting it on the flop. We still have good equity vs those hands.
Much too narrow a range, any other overpair is in there, some crap TP's. Insta shove here.
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote
11-14-2008 , 01:13 AM
Get it in. Even without including overpairs you crush 66 and 88 and have a flush draw with overs well beaten. Villain's not going to be folding these often at all. Calling's no good becasue there's so many scare cards that will come. Also an overcard can come killing your action against an overpair.
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote
11-14-2008 , 01:50 AM
PF: Good
Flop: Your bet is norm, when he raise its right into his range, so your often WB/SA therefore I call and look to shove a blank turn, not sure how I react to a scary turn but often call, c/f river
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote
11-14-2008 , 02:17 AM
at these stakes just get it in - there's just too many scare cards. If he hit a set, oh well. Otherwise make him pay for the draws!
25NL - AA gets c/r on a drawy flop Quote

      
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