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25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9

03-28-2010 , 09:38 PM
CO is 21/17 of 24/20 in LP with a fold to cbet of 50-60% and raises turn 20%

after my EP raise and 2 callers SPR is 8.8 and I was ready to stack off....

potting flop and 2 callers can turn be a c/f cause If I bet I'm calling any raise. Am I happily doing that on a call on such a dry flop? how many other overpaird go down here?


Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP2: $35.85
CO: $72.95
BTN: $25.00
SB: $49.20
BB: $30.45
UTG: $15.55
Hero (UTG+1): $29.70
MP1: $25.00

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG+1 with A A
1 fold, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, CO calls $1, 1 fold, SB calls $0.90, 1 fold

Flop: ($3.25) 5 7 3 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.10, CO calls $3.10, SB calls $3.10

Turn: ($12.55) 4 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero ?,
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-28-2010 , 09:41 PM
Bet $8 because checking is horrible.
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-28-2010 , 09:56 PM
but once you bet you'd have to call any raise
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-28-2010 , 09:58 PM
You have 2 players calling your flop bet.

Now 1 could have a overpair, or even AK.

But there is no flush draw out there, so I am assuming with 2, that 1 of them is chasing the straight. Obviously hit it.

I am checking the turn and seeing what they do.
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-28-2010 , 10:25 PM
Why is checking terrible? CO's call with SB left to act behind shows strength, either a set, 2prs or at the very minimum a draw. He's not floating such a big cbet 3-way with air here for sure, MAYBE a medium PP. Same for SB except he's more likely to be drawing. Since there's no flush draws, the probability that you're up against a made straight on the turn, or at the very least 2prs+, is very high. I check and hope to see a showdown as cheap as possible, but will probably have to fold since I expect bets from either CO or SB on the turn. The only way I can see us still being ahead is if they both had medium overpairs but if that's the case they'll let you know by checking the turn anyway. I don't see any reason to bet this turn.
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-28-2010 , 10:28 PM
Do you have SB stats?
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-28-2010 , 11:26 PM
Tough spot, you can't really B/F and I'd put the CO on an OP here, they need a 6 to hit so I'm unsure if I put him on 66's or 56/67s simply b/c I don't think he's calling the flop hoping to hit a 4, or maybe runner runner a higher straight.

With the SB, I need his stats but since he's unknown it's possible he's a complete fish and given that, he would likely donk here when he does hit.

I'm probably going to get it in by betting 2/3 turn and naturally having to call any 3b shove and just shoving any river really.
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-28-2010 , 11:31 PM
check
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-29-2010 , 01:31 AM
Be horrible and check
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-29-2010 , 01:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ensano
after my EP raise and 2 callers SPR is 8.8 and I was ready to stack off....
What do you mean exactly?
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-29-2010 , 02:07 AM
I c/b turn also and value bet river if its checked to you unless 2/6/8 hit river
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-29-2010 , 02:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SomeDonkey
What do you mean exactly?
+1
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote
03-29-2010 , 03:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SteelerPower
You have 2 players calling your flop bet.

Now 1 could have a overpair, or even AK.

But there is no flush draw out there, so I am assuming with 2, that 1 of them is chasing the straight. Obviously hit it.

I am checking the turn and seeing what they do.
eh no.

but flop calling ranges are heavily weighted to pairs - 33,55,77-JJ.

on the turn you're pretty classically wa/wb...

b/f $7 because they aren't raising you there with anything worse than JJ, and it sets up your river shove almost perfectly.
25NL AA on 357r flop with an SPR of <9 Quote

      
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