Seat 1: Hero (1280 in chips)
Seat 2: Villain (1720 in chips)
Villain: posts small blind 10
ph1sh1ng: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Qc Ah]
Villain: raises 40 to 60
Hero: raises 100 to 160
Villain: calls 100
*** FLOP *** [2 A K]
Hero: bets 160
Villain: calls 160
*** TURN *** [2 A K] [K]
Hero: checks
Villain: checks
*** RIVER *** [2 A K K] [3]
Hero: bets 210
Villain: raises 470 to 680
Hero: folds

Um, reads on villain, info about match flow, etc.?

In a vacuum, you MUST call river.

1) All the draws bricked. And while they might check-raise you on various flops, they'll often choose to flat call a c-bet instead when the board is AKx. So draws are definitely in his flop check-calling range. His turn check-behind on this texture is a more ambiguous piece of evidence, so I'll just leave it alone.

2) Kx is combinatorically unlikely, and is further discounted by villain's turn check.

3) Also, if I'm reading the numbers right, you under-bet the river after checking the turn on a drawy board and firing a conventional-seeming c-bet. So your whole line is encouraging villain to perceive you as weak.


Oh, I forgot to critique earlier streets. More on flop, and bet the turn. In a vacuum at the $23 stake. With reads or some kind of match dynamic, you can sometimes try fancier things, like taking lines that induce bluff(-raises.)

Moral of the story: You need excellent, amazing, fantastic reads to fold your hand post-flop at any point on this board texture in a 3-bet pot when stacks are this shallow. And even then, you probably shouldn't. Due to large pot size, strong hand, drawy + paired flop, pot odds when villain felts, and stake level.