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200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove 200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove

11-24-2022 , 06:02 AM
So, I should have made the flop bet bigger. I'm still learning what boards to bet 33% or so and which to bet 75% or so. I got this one wrong in real time.

However, once making 1/3, solver likes another 1/3 on turn.


But, solver is a 100% call here. I'm not sure if that holds up against non balanced V's.

Only about 20 hands on V. 32/23/0 Stats. But again, low sample size


The only non equilibrium hand I could come up with that I'm beating is TT turned into a semi bluff or KT jamming gets value some rare times and others it still has equity.

I have no idea if V is familiar with polarized BTNvBB 3! range or thinks all 3! are strong. But a very good portion of my range smashed this board.



I know everyone says just play close to equilibrium without more info on V's, but in 3! spots I tend to lean towards the side of most people equate that with strength more so than balance. Until I have some history with V. That could be an error on my part though.


So, what's the verdict? Folding, or a crying call?

Yatahay Network - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 142.02 BB
CO: 112.15 BB
BTN: 103.9 BB

Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1 BB) Hero has A K

fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 12 BB, BTN calls 9.5 BB

Flop: (24 BB, 2 players) J K 6
Hero bets 7.92 BB, BTN calls 7.92 BB

Turn: (39.84 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero bets 13.15 BB, BTN raises to 83.98 BB and is all-in
200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove Quote
11-24-2022 , 08:57 AM
Seems fine to call. We have equity vs every value raise and we unblock bluff.

I think this is a spot very most players will have at lest enough bluffs to make it break even call.

If he jams this range
JJ,66,ATs,KJs+,T9s,Ah6h,As6s,Ah5h,As5s,Ah4h,As4s,A h3h,As3s,Ah2h,As2s,KQo

We have close to break even call, add just 1-2 weaker combos and we have clear call.
200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove Quote
11-24-2022 , 09:47 AM
Probably a flop to bet bigger on since you have strong nut advantage. Would make turn decision easier. AP we're getting about 2:1. We have 28 value combos with maybe 10% equity against them so let's say 25 combos; we have lots of flush combos, probably as many as 21 if we're including SCs and we have 80% equity so that would make the numbers 25:16, but let's say 25:18 to include some goofy bluffs. However, this assumes that he always takes this line with the draws, which he shouldn't. In fact, with most of the A-high flushes on this board and with him being IP facing small bets it's probably much better for him to just call. But we have to assume he's playing his fd's this way about 2/3 of the time to justify the call, and I doubt he is. My gut tells me that he's going to take this line more with his value hands and not enough with his bluffs to warrant calling.
200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove Quote
11-24-2022 , 09:56 AM
I'm surprised solver would tell you to bet 1/3 OTT - seems like a board we'd want to polarize our sizing on. I find a hard time calling this off as I don't see him jamming bare hearts/spades which we need to make the call work - he's in position with those hands so I'd imagine he'd just see a river.
200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove Quote
11-24-2022 , 10:05 AM
idk man. i see it folding some AKo and i think its actually pretty tough for button to decide to overbluff here as opposed to just peel the draws getting extremely good price. alot of the stuff people want him to shove just arent in his range to get to the turn in the solve im looking at. i think its pretty tough spot tbh even while cheating and looking at the solve. if theres no sb dealt in u could make an extremely poor argument that its closer to a hu hand lol and then its likely an easy call
200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove Quote
11-24-2022 , 01:03 PM
I go 10bb pre.. Here

I get lazy and auto cbey 1/3 here but vs villains like this i prefer 1/2 pot.

Im not sure i call here give dynamic and our perceived range.. I just feel villain is weighted more value > bluffs
200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove Quote
11-24-2022 , 01:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfan655
I'm surprised solver would tell you to bet 1/3 OTT - seems like a board we'd want to polarize our sizing on. I find a hard time calling this off as I don't see him jamming bare hearts/spades which we need to make the call work - he's in position with those hands so I'd imagine he'd just see a river.

It only says 1/3 after I chose the very low frequency 1/3 flop bet. Had I made the correct/higher frequency flop bet, it wouldn't have been 1/3.
200NL BTN(v) vs BB(H) AK (TPTK) vs turn shove Quote

      
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