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[200NL] Bluffcatch on River 3-Bet Pot [200NL] Bluffcatch on River 3-Bet Pot

02-19-2024 , 06:49 PM
PokerStars - $2 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 163.41 BB
BB: 121.44 BB
Hero (UTG): 168.01 BB
MP: 100 BB
CO: 130.3 BB
BTN: 113.69 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A Q

Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 11 BB, Hero calls 9 BB

Flop: (22.5 BB, 2 players) 5 Q K
BB bets 6.42 BB, Hero calls 6.42 BB

Turn: (35.33 BB, 2 players) T
BB bets 24.38 BB, Hero calls 24.38 BB

River: (84.08 BB, 2 players) 2
BB bets 79.65 BB and is all-in, Hero ????????????


I thought AsQs was a reasonable bluff catcher here given that I block KsQs, AA, AK, AsJs. Villain is a good regular. Would you call or fold?
[200NL] Bluffcatch on River 3-Bet Pot Quote
02-19-2024 , 11:19 PM
Fold. When villain is tripple barreling with a big bet on turn and large jam on the river for 122bb effective stacks pre, when villain has all sorts of top pair and better on the river, and the top of your range is full of top pair and better, we don't need to be hero calling with second pair. You can have AK, KJs at a minimum. You can have KTs, KQs, 55, QQ, AJs.

Even AK is a debatable fold on river and a mixed call/fold at equilibrium.

This line is also underbluffed, including by regs. If anything I would want to overfold this spot, certainly not look to be making hero calls.
[200NL] Bluffcatch on River 3-Bet Pot Quote
02-20-2024 , 12:27 AM
Fold turn.
[200NL] Bluffcatch on River 3-Bet Pot Quote
02-20-2024 , 01:31 PM
Our GS has some pretty bad counterfeits vs their triple range. it's not like we're giving up that much equity by folding low/marginal EV hands on boards that smash their range
[200NL] Bluffcatch on River 3-Bet Pot Quote
02-20-2024 , 08:42 PM
I'd fold the river. Probably would fold the turn as a default.
[200NL] Bluffcatch on River 3-Bet Pot Quote

      
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