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200 Blitz To value bet or not? 4bet pot CO(v) vs BTN(H) 200 Blitz To value bet or not? 4bet pot CO(v) vs BTN(H)

12-01-2022 , 12:54 AM
After checking the turn, figured he might just be slowing down in case I have AJ, KT, JT. But the river check, moves it more so into him having AK/AQ or something like 99.


Question though is.....do any of those call 30% pot or so? Or even a shove?


I know solver probably wants us to bet on turn, but I feel like IRL in this pool, a lot of AA/KK/QQ are checking this turn and not folding.

River in this pool, I think QQ+ is value betting, and I don't think they ever fold to a shove. So, if I had a J, I'd probably check back turn and rip it in on river.


But with TT here, in non solver world.....we ever bet/folding this river? Or just be happy to win when we do, and happy we didn't lose anymore when they show QQ+ sometimes?

Yatahay Network - $2 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 173.42 BB
BB: 203.39 BB
UTG: 149.3 BB
MP: 112.74 BB
CO: 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T T

fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 7.5 BB, fold, fold, CO raises to 23 BB, Hero calls 15.5 BB

Flop: (47.5 BB, 2 players) J 6 5
CO bets 12 BB, Hero calls 12 BB

Turn: (71.5 BB, 2 players) J
CO checks, Hero checks

River: (71.5 BB, 2 players) 5
CO checks,
200 Blitz To value bet or not? 4bet pot CO(v) vs BTN(H) Quote
12-01-2022 , 01:33 AM
Personally I'd probably have all-in as my only size here, but smaller bets might work ok in practice. Without any reads I'd probably shove TT here. That's kind of dependent on the dynamics of the player pool though. For example, if IP way overfolds against aggression and way overbluffs when checked to, I'd expect the stronger regs to pick up on that and trap more. If the opposite is true then I'd expect regs to be very capped in this line, and then shoving TT becomes an obvious play.

Also think about what your HUD stats look like to your opponent. If I were playing in a non-anonymous pool I'd snip a screenshot of my HUD stats and keep the pic off to the side of my tables with the rest of my notes and stuff.
200 Blitz To value bet or not? 4bet pot CO(v) vs BTN(H) Quote
12-02-2022 , 06:18 PM
Its gotta be check or jam as far as sizing. I think its cool if we jam and force him to try and hero w AK or maybe he has 88 and 99 here at some frequency. In game I'd probably take the safe line and check back bc honestly i could see them playing QQ-AA like this and even though i think jam is cool i dont know if they ever actually make the hero w AK
200 Blitz To value bet or not? 4bet pot CO(v) vs BTN(H) Quote
12-02-2022 , 07:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by YanasaurBBQ
Its gotta be check or jam as far as sizing. I think its cool if we jam and force him to try and hero w AK or maybe he has 88 and 99 here at some frequency. In game I'd probably take the safe line and check back bc honestly i could see them playing QQ-AA like this and even though i think jam is cool i dont know if they ever actually make the hero w AK
Every reg in that pool is more than capable of making A-high bluffcatches. I'd expect OOP to be too capped in this line but I wouldn't expect them to overfold.
200 Blitz To value bet or not? 4bet pot CO(v) vs BTN(H) Quote

      
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