Quote:
Originally Posted by Ceres
So you guys are advocating for zero bluff XR range? I can't help but think that's a leak - esp given the data doodoo just posted
You said it yourself FD: he can't have strong hands here. When should we deploy a bluffing range if not with a big range adv? If there's any spot we might expect a micro player to figure out they could be beat an AKxx seems defo in the running for that analysis
I'm an advocate of the KISS system. Keep it simple stupid (it's an acronym, not an insult)
. No need to overcomplicate things at these stakes. Just go for the highest EV line, and make money.
You have the range advantage on an AK board. Bet, bet, bet. This is where your bluff is, as it's consistent w/ your range advantage, and you get EV from his draws.
I'm not really sure what we're looking at in this hand honestly. Because what was the plan really? You likely ended up bluffing w/ the best hand enough of the time, that it didn't warrant a shove this deep.
Turn goes X/X... you X river... and some % of the time your opponent is checking behind w/ weak Ax and Kx (probably doesn't have much of course since you have Qd, but), and you lose. If you punched in your opponents range on the river w/ how often they are bluffing w/ air, vs value betting... what's our risk/ruin ratio? Some % of the time, you're being called as well. Without doing the numbers, it's probably too close at these stakes for it to be profitable long term, or more precisely, there's a higher EV line that gets more value w/ less risk... which is what we want to optimize our strategy to in poker.