Quote:
Originally Posted by BoreAphil
Iknow it wasn't your intention, but I like checking here 20-25% of time. However, you gave an fdraw with gutshot about correct odds to call that turn without any implied odds. Lets say you raise to 16 dollars to try and take away his implied odds with a fdraw and gutshot. If you raise to 16, there will be 28.25 in pot. He's then calling 13 and getting 2.17 to 1. But if you're putting 13 in on this river then I assume you're always putting in the 9.23 you'd have left if you had C/R'd to 16 on turn. So it's implied that he's getting 2.88 to 1 which means he needs just 25.77% to break even and is making his hand 23.9% if we take away 2 of his flush outs for boats. Pretty close. But I think that this is the best choice. I guess it's possible for him to have KJ here as well giving us even better chances. He might not ever call 16 with even top two pair though, so to reduce variance and price him out of a 910spades call, maybe we should check shove turn?
Great advice, i initially didn't see what you mean by the implied odds i'm 100% of time shoving this river so my whole stack is implied with this check raise so i should of over bet check raised to get rid of his odds.
I think i have to agree with the bet sizing as i always maintain same bet size usually other then short stacks (to give less info), i usually forget about deep stack play. I don't agree with check shoving the turn as i basically get all that beats me to call and anything i'm behind to fold (even a fish knows to fold TP for a 200 BB shove), but i do agree my bet sizing was quite horrible in that spot also.
With regards to the "terrible check" i was actually getting sweated at the time so i was talking to him about what would be the better option not that iwas playing too many tables as i said my usual line would be to bet near enough pot this turn. Then shove any river although i would be mighty pissed if the 3rd flush came.
P.S. Judging by his line it and timing it seemed quite obvious he was on a draw, would anyone argue against my shove on river as it was played? Or is that too weaktight?
Thanks for the responses,
Nuvan.