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[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? [10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river?
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03-26-2024 , 10:26 PM
#1
HeyYoshi
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stranger
Join Date: Mar 2024 Posts: 5
Opponent is very fishy, and likes to call. I figured I could probably get him to call with a two-pair on the river like AK or AQ. But am I just trapping myself in case he has the straight or a higher set?


PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 101.5 BB
BB: 101.5 BB
UTG: 99.6 BB
MP: 101.7 BB
CO: 110.6 BB
Hero (BTN): 164.8 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 6 6

UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) A 9 K
UTG checks, Hero bets 6.2 BB, UTG calls 6.2 BB

Turn: (19.9 BB, 2 players) Q
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: (19.9 BB, 2 players) 6
UTG bets 12 BB, [color=red]Hero ?
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-26-2024 , 11:19 PM
#2
Purple Hat's Avatar
Purple Hat
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centurion
Join Date: Dec 2017 Posts: 138
I don't think we should be betting flop here vs an UTG range?
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-27-2024 , 12:05 AM
#3
billylean
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grinder
Join Date: Dec 2022 Posts: 443
i thought he asked about the river
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-27-2024 , 12:29 AM
#4
NightMan87's Avatar
NightMan87
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Your call is ok if UTG is fish but if UTG is a reg player 66 is fold pre flop. When the flop conteins AXX, KXX, AKX, AQX and the first position checks is because he has AX, KX, with a weak kicker. So Its check behind on the flop. When fish checks turn he has nothing so tu can steal the pot betting 1/2 and pot river. 66 doesnt have showdown value it must be a bluff if u dont hit the 6 on the river. U dont want to lose against 77, 88, 9X.


To answer your question yes is raise ... he is betting 60% which is weak.... stay attentive to the sizings. 1/3, 1/2 and 2/3 usually is not strong. 3/4 and pot bets are very strong.

GL
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-27-2024 , 02:27 AM
#5
dude45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NightMan87
Your call is ok if UTG is fish but if UTG is a reg player 66 is fold pre flop. When the flop conteins AXX, KXX, AKX, AQX and the first position checks is because he has AX, KX, with a weak kicker. So Its check behind on the flop. When fish checks turn he has nothing so tu can steal the pot betting 1/2 and pot river. 66 doesnt have showdown value it must be a bluff if u dont hit the 6 on the river. U dont want to lose against 77, 88, 9X.


To answer your question yes is raise ... he is betting 60% which is weak.... stay attentive to the sizings. 1/3, 1/2 and 2/3 usually is not strong. 3/4 and pot bets are very strong.

GL
Depends at equilibrium the BTN can call raise or fold 66 but you can chose a single action depending on how utg plays. Everything else is solid
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-27-2024 , 08:04 AM
#6
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slyless
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Hand Evaluation Expert
Join Date: Dec 2021 Posts: 2,343
The call is okay vs fishy UTG.
Raise on the river and you can fold against 3bet.
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-27-2024 , 11:10 AM
#7
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NightMan87
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Equilibrium doesnt exist against fish
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-27-2024 , 12:33 PM
#8
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X flop, and yes raise river. Fold to any 3-bet.
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
03-27-2024 , 01:48 PM
#9
dude45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NightMan87
Equilibrium doesnt exist against fish
I know which is why you should adjust and do whatever action exploits the fish.
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
04-14-2024 , 11:36 AM
#10
garyuuougi
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I guess you don't think he has QQ a lot of the time here but it looks like he could from checking UTG on that board, like QQ , JJ, TT on flop, then when he bets river its like QQ often. I don't know if generally he is tricky enough to check AK, so i expect to see KQ instead of AK for two pairs, so u can count the combos of the QQ and KQ and maybe decide if he has AJ or something like that and weight it toward raise or call or fold if you are courageous.
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
04-14-2024 , 06:05 PM
#11
PappePoker
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NightMan87
Equilibrium doesnt exist against fish
Yep, just like fishes will X with weak aces. 😉
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
04-14-2024 , 06:08 PM
#12
PappePoker
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HeyYoshi
Opponent is very fishy, and likes to call. I figured I could probably get him to call with a two-pair on the river like AK or AQ. But am I just trapping myself in case he has the straight or a higher set?


PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 101.5 BB
BB: 101.5 BB
UTG: 99.6 BB
MP: 101.7 BB
CO: 110.6 BB
Hero (BTN): 164.8 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 6 6

UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) A 9 K
UTG checks, Hero bets 6.2 BB, UTG calls 6.2 BB

Turn: (19.9 BB, 2 players) Q
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: (19.9 BB, 2 players) 6
UTG bets 12 BB, [color=red]Hero ?
Raise the river and if he 3bets you can fold
[10NL] Do you raise with a set on the river? Quote
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