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What to do on the turn? What to do on the turn?

10-23-2018 , 06:15 PM
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.51, PFR: 17.95, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 39)
SB: 67 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 2.98, 3Bet Preflop: 1.33, Hands: 174)
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 106.1 BB
MP: 123.4 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
CO: 49.2 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 K

fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) 7 6 K
Hero checks, CO bets 2.2 BB, Hero calls 2.2 BB

Turn: (8.9 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero checks, CO bets 4.3 BB, Hero calls 4.3 BB

River: (17.5 BB, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, CO checks

Spoiler:
Hero shows 9 K (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 30%, Flop 20%, Turn 25%)
CO shows K J (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 70%, Flop 80%, Turn 75%)
CO wins 16.7 BB



What is the villain betting on the turn?
I assume villain is no longer betting made hands worse than top pair,

Is he also betting Adx hands, and perhaps Qdx hands??

Should I call the turn bet?
Even if villain is also betting Jdx + hands I don't have the equity to call here
What to do on the turn? Quote
10-23-2018 , 09:27 PM
I think folding the turn is likely fine, weak top pair OOP with so many horrible river cards that it's very hard for us to win the hand. The flop is the bit that I'm really unsure of the plan and how we want to play this hand but I probably play pretty horribly on monotone boards like this.

On the flop villain has more strong and nutted flushes and Adx in our range than we do (as we 3bet some), all sets (we 3bet KK), similar amounts of two pair, better Kx hands (we 3bet strong Kings).

Maybe due to odds pre we have a lot more flushes in our range than villain does? But on average weaker flushes but as we are stacks are so low I think having more flushes even if they are on average weaker is better for us.

In reality I probably call the turn and fold far too much on the river but I'm pretty lost in this spot. I think holding a diamond kicker is better for us especially when most of the weaker kickers in villains Kx made two pair.
What to do on the turn? Quote
10-24-2018 , 04:31 PM
Thanks. I don't have a good feel for monotone boards either.

I think folding on the turn is definitely overfolding, but I also think that villains are probably a bit more straightforward on the monotone flops
What to do on the turn? Quote

      
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