Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
You said checking the flop is a pretty big mistake. How?
1) We aren't getting 3 streets of value with this hand on most run outs.
2) 23/10 is TIGHT
Range manipulation. A tight passive is usually going to call wider than he bets, so we are doing much better vs his calling range than we are vs his betting range and we don't miss value from all the stuff in his range that will call but doesn't bet.
Look at how much Qx and middle pairs a 23% vpip with a 6% 3bet has in his range. There aren't that many combos of Ax that beat us given that we block Ax, whereas there is a bunch of Qx in it that we don't block. You don't think he has at minimum KQo, QJ, QTs, Q9s, A6s, A5s, A3s, A2s, 99, 88, 77, 66? How much of that do you think he bets when we check to him? How much of that folds to one bet?