Quote:
Originally Posted by Rapidesh123
We have 2 very strong outs that villain will stackoff easily, which is any 4x. We will lose action if we hit a 6,7 or 3(11 outs), but we will get a free card on 6 cards.
So 4% of the time ott we will win villain's stack making him draw close to dead, 22% of the time we will make the best hand and probably squeeze a small bet otr for value and 12% of the time we will realize our equity for free(flush card) giving us potential to hit more 2 good outs otr for a big sized valuebet and 11 outs of making the best hand again
Calling is superior to raising because most weaktight guys/fish will only show up with overpairs otf for that sizing betting into 2 people. And they have 0 clue on what we have. That's why I dislike raising flop vs that kind of player
Right, almost any card but a 4 is going to slow V down unless he somehow has 77/55 or he improves ott. Which makes getting in this spot not worth it against a reg in an iso'd, mw, SRP. The guy who is likely more mistake prone folded otf.
I would argue regs don't play overpairs like this often on this flop texture as it favors SB; they are aware.
Speaking of which, the V type you described and the BB don't really seem to coincide. 23/19/8 doesn't seem like weak tight. That, in turn, leads me to believe some of the outs that we think might slow V down may also improve parts of his range, i.e. big clubs.