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Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Thin value or play it safe? 10NL

08-17-2018 , 09:10 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
BB ($10.30) [VPIP: 21.7% | PFR: 18% | AGG: 34.4% | 3-Bet: 8.3% | Hands: 2078]
HERO ($21.23) [VPIP: 30.1% | PFR: 24% | AGG: 29.3% | 3-Bet: 9.8% | Hands: 19038]
HJ ($9.85) [VPIP: 26% | PFR: 19.3% | AGG: 31.1% | 3-Bet: 7.9% | Hands: 311]
CO ($22.58) [VPIP: 25.6% | PFR: 21.9% | AGG: 47.1% | 3-Bet: 14.7% | Hands: 1306]
BTN ($10.15) [VPIP: 17.4% | PFR: 14.6% | AGG: 37% | 3-Bet: 9.3% | Hands: 401]
SB ($11.51) [VPIP: 23.1% | PFR: 16.5% | AGG: 20.7% | 3-Bet: 4.8% | Hands: 91]

Dealt to Hero: A 9

HERO Raises To $0.22, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Calls $0.12

Hero SPR on Flop: [20.57 effective]
Flop ($0.49): 6 2 6
BB Checks, HERO Bets $0.23 (Rem. Stack: 20.78), BB Calls $0.23 (Rem. Stack: 9.85)

Turn ($0.95): 6 2 6 4
BB Checks, HERO Bets $1.50 (Rem. Stack: 19.28), BB Calls $1.50 (Rem. Stack: 8.35)

River ($3.95): 6 2 6 4 9
BB Checks, HERO ?
Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Quote
08-17-2018 , 09:51 PM
X back imo...villains will find it too easy to fold with everything you beat and probably snap you off with TT and JJ.

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Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Quote
08-17-2018 , 10:01 PM
I think you can go for value here. Have to assume that he doesn't have any pairs bigger than 9's based on PF. He is going to have 88, 77 and some 55 here a good deal of the time here that can call a small bet.

I would bet/fold for @ 25 to 30% of pot. I don't think he will every raise a bet on this river with anything that you beat.
Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Quote
08-17-2018 , 10:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiTownBubba
I think you can go for value here. Have to assume that he doesn't have any pairs bigger than 9's based on PF. He is going to have 88, 77 and some 55 here a good deal of the time here that can call a small bet.

I would bet/fold for @ 25 to 30% of pot. I don't think he will every raise a bet on this river with anything that you beat.
You 3b TT as BB vs an UTG open? Our V looks solid. I can't see them calling 3 streets with an underpair vs an uncapped UTG range which has all 99+.

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Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Quote
08-17-2018 , 10:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rikk
You 3b TT as BB vs an UTG open? Our V looks solid. I can't see them calling 3 streets with an underpair vs an uncapped UTG range which has all 99+.

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He's actually the best reg in my games hah.
Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Quote
08-17-2018 , 10:57 PM
Don't think we can go for value after over betting the turn.
Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Quote
08-17-2018 , 11:01 PM
If I am BB in this hand against a 31/24 UTG opener (hero), yes I am 3b 1010 most, if not all of the time and I am 3b JJ+ for sure. But BB didn't 3b. C/C'ing 88 and 77 is not check/calling with an underpair, its check/calling over pairs. 55 is an underpair which is still a pretty standard call on this flop for that price. It improves on a 3, 4, 5 and can still be good vs. UTG (heros) overcard cbets.
Thin value or play it safe? 10NL Quote

      
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