PokerStars - €0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 75 BB
Hero (SB): 133.5 BB
BB: 76 BB
UTG: 140 BB
MP: 102.5 BB
CO: 207.5 BB
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K
Q
fold,
fold,
CO raises to 2 BB,
fold,
Hero raises to 7.5 BB,
fold,
CO calls 5.5 BB
Flop: (16 BB, 2 players) 2
3
9
Hero bets 5 BB,
CO calls 5 BB
Turn: (26 BB, 2 players) 5
Hero bets 19 BB,
CO calls 19 BB
River: (64 BB, 2 players) 6
Hero bets 102 BB and is all-in,
CO calls 102 BB
So I am slowly working my way through GTO, and granted am very much in the beginning. Generally I play passively so my struggle is coming up with bluffs. Anyway I decided to bluff over-shove here since I had a high equity hand that realized nothing and I was going to lose if I did not get a fold. I figured meh I hardly bluff why not now but I am trying to work out if this is a good hand or not, in my mind I was trying to fold out TT and JJ.
Now that I have had time to review the hand here is what I think.
I fire 102b into 64b so I have to get a fold over 60% of the time to work. This means that I should have in this spot slightly more than 1 bluff for every 2 value hands. Looking at this board I never have a solid value hand to go 3 streets really. For one I never have a 4, and I never have 78s, and even if I did , I would for sure have thrown a check somewhere in there but regardless, those hands are not in my SB 3-bet range. So my best hand here is 99. Would I play it this way? Absolutely, but I cannot find another value hand that plays this way. AA and KK I think I check turn a lot looking to pot control. So already we run into a major problem.
I only have 47 hands on V and his stats are 22/14/0. So obviously him showing up with the hand he did makes the turn bet pretty darn good since it should get a fold out of so much of his range, but what rivers should I jam? I am thinking A since I block AQ and AK and that puts even more pressure on JJ and TT.
Anyway could really use some help from someone that has studied the theory side of things and can help me figure out what hands I should double barrel here and what rivers I should shove as a credible bluff.
Last edited by Vecissitude; 05-10-2021 at 03:59 PM.