Quote:
Originally Posted by 2021shipit
Being unbalanced and capped is GTO. It's not "gto" to always trap the nuts sometimes on the river "so you have the nuts in your range". That just doesn't make any sense, if someone jams GTO will just choose other hands to call with, it doesn't need the nuts in the check call range since the nuts make the most money in the bet range. It's quite obvious that your betting range (on flops, turns and rivers) will be stronger than your checking range. Being "unbalanced" in that matter does not matter one bit.
But outside of a theory argument, just stop calling rivers since literally no one bluffs. This is not much of an observation but a fact, the only stake where you will see regs bluff close to GTO frequencies is high stakes, at midstakes and low stakes all regs on aggregate are not betting enough.
There are two important purposes for trapping with the "nuts".
One: If you have QQ and the board for example is Q 5 3 rainbow, the opponent's very unlikely to have top pair, hence you're blocking their calling range. You can most consistently make money either by making your range weaker by checking, causing your opponent to think that they have more of a value range than they thought they did, or by enticing them to bluff. This makes slowplaying beneficial.
Two: You make your condensed ranges less exploitative. Optimal betting and bluffing patterns experience a nosedive even with a relatively small portion of slowplayed "nut" hands in your range. The danger of running into hands like these can make checking your hands down to showdown significantly easier. Your bluffing capabilities with these ranges also improve, and you can build secondary polarized ranges.
But if you still think it's "dumb" and you'd rather value bet QQ on a Q 5 3 rainbow and watch your opponent fold to it, feel free.
Oh, right. And being unbalanced and capped is not GTO. Actual GTO play exploits unbalanced and capped ranges like crazy. For example a turn GTO raising range can go from 5% to 50% if they know you're capped. The exploitation you open yourself up to is insane if you never slowplay. Similarly, if your opponent never slowplays and you know that they'd not be calling multiple streets with a capped range, you can absolutely go to town on them.
Here's the concept of GTO play and GTO solvers. They assume GTO play by the opponent. It's GTO play only if the opponent plays GTO themselves. Against other opposition, it's not the optimal way to play. However, even so, the GTO that the opponent plays against you is the optimal counter-strategy to your lines. So if they themselves are deviating from GTO, then you will gain EV elsewhere. Hence, playing GTO never is bad and always beneficial.
However, actual GTO play vs exploitable opponents is very different. For example, if your SB and BB overfold, the optimal raising range becomes 100%. If your opponent overfolds to check raise, the optimal check raise range becomes very high. If your opponent only ever all ins the nuts on the river, it's optimal to overfold a massive amount of the time. You only balance your ranges in equilibrium. If one option has the highest EV, you would do it 100% of the time.
The problem is, these extreme strategies open you up to counterexploitation, and counterexploitation is always even more powerful than the initial exploitation itself. Even one instance of counterexploitation can outdo hundreds of hands of exploitation, when the opponent adapts. And you can't know when they're going to adapt. For example, if you have the read that your opponent never slowplays and bully them relentlessly but they eventually do adapt, slowplay a monster and get your stack, what now?
You get into a "he thinks that I think that he thinks that I think that.." scenario. Some people are good at them, some people are not. The only people who you can count on not adapting are pure fish and total nits who are afraid of everything. Everyone else is able to.
With default GTO play, you know that your opponent cannot adapt to it. The optimal counter to it is GTO - they'll always bleed money one way or another otherwise. But it is not the way to play for the biggest possible winnings. It's a defensive strategy against opponents who you have no reads on.
Last edited by dknt; 06-19-2021 at 08:00 AM.