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uNL Stats Checkup Thread uNL Stats Checkup Thread

08-01-2018 , 10:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DSA Stephen



5NLZ Stars any major leaks?
3bet % looks a little low to me.
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08-01-2018 , 11:25 AM


Anything stand out? Also specifically looking for feedback on CC% by position, BTN defend vs CO, and Cbet IP/OOP.
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08-06-2018 , 11:00 AM





This is all Zoom 50NL @ Stars.
I believe I play quite good, but suspect that I can gain more by stepping up the aggression. But I am not sure what exactly to work on.

1) Cbet% flop/turn/river too low?
2) Need to check-raise more on flop?
3) Need to raise more cbets on flop?
4) Agg factor too low? (as a result of the above I would suppose)
5) Anything else?
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08-13-2018 , 02:33 AM
What is a high fold to steal %? Looking to steal more blinds
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08-13-2018 , 02:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
What is a high fold to steal %? Looking to steal more blinds
RFE = (size of open) / ( (sum of blinds) + (size of open) )

You want the product of the SB's and BB's fold-to-steal %s to be greater than the RFE for your bet size.

Say blinds are 0.5 and 1, you open for 2 on the button. RFE = 2/ 3.5 = 0.571.

For an individual player, anything more than sqrt(0.571) = 0.756 is high

The more equity your hand has, the less you need the villain(s) to fold to your raise.
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08-13-2018 , 05:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
RFE = (size of open) / ( (sum of blinds) + (size of open) )

You want the product of the SB's and BB's fold-to-steal %s to be greater than the RFE for your bet size.

Say blinds are 0.5 and 1, you open for 2 on the button. RFE = 2/ 3.5 = 0.571.

For an individual player, anything more than sqrt(0.571) = 0.756 is high

The more equity your hand has, the less you need the villain(s) to fold to your raise.
Thank you! What does RFE mean ?
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08-13-2018 , 09:02 PM
Required Fold Equity. It is the proportion of folds you would have to see for your bet or raise to be profitable.

If the players in the blinds both fold more than 75% of the time(*) you can profitably open with any two cards.

(*)And if they never adjusted to your hammering them.
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08-15-2018 , 07:46 PM
Quick question what is ur guys average 3! stat/% BUvsCU
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08-17-2018 , 05:52 PM
What is a high fold to 3bet %? I guess what I'm asking is - is there a certain point where 3betting ATC would be profitable?
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08-17-2018 , 05:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
What is a high fold to 3bet %? I guess what I'm asking is - is there a certain point where 3betting ATC would be profitable?
Say u 3bet 9bb bu vs co. Then u risk 9bb to win 3+1.5+9. So 9/13.5 =~66% which is where you can technically 3bet atc
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08-17-2018 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerforumposter
Say u 3bet 9bb bu vs co. Then u risk 9bb to win 3+1.5+9. So 9/13.5 =~66% which is where you can technically 3bet atc
thank you thats what i needed. so if its higher than 66% over a big sample you can 3bet liberally?
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08-18-2018 , 11:09 AM
Sure, but be aware that villains can notice and adjust (unless you are playing on Ignition, in which case you won't get enough data to make a good judgment anyway).
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08-18-2018 , 10:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
Sure, but be aware that villains can notice and adjust (unless you are playing on Ignition, in which case you won't get enough data to make a good judgment anyway).
Thanks Alan. I'm on ACR right now. I've played over 20k hands and I fee like I'm running bad. What is a good W$SD rate? I'm currently at 52.5% and that feels low.
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08-19-2018 , 10:53 AM
I'm not going to claim that it is good, but for my play on ACR/WPN my W$SD is 55%.

(If you are beating WPN at all you are doing great; the site is full of rakeback and Beast point grinders. [brag]I'm running +7.3bb/100 after 39K hands.[/brag])
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08-19-2018 , 11:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
I'm not going to claim that it is good, but for my play on ACR/WPN my W$SD is 55%.

(If you are beating WPN at all you are doing great; the site is full of rakeback and Beast point grinders. [brag]I'm running +7.3bb/100 after 39K hands.[/brag])
Very nice! wow what stakes? I am -.88BB/100 over 22k hands at 10NL.

I want to be a winning player! lol
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08-19-2018 , 08:57 PM
The lion's share is at 10NL (where my win rate is 10bb/100). I got my ass handed to me every time I ventured into 25NL, until I bought and read Peter Clarke's The Grinder's Manual, and have been beating it since (although I am technically still in the red at that limit).
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08-19-2018 , 10:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
The lion's share is at 10NL (where my win rate is 10bb/100). I got my ass handed to me every time I ventured into 25NL, until I bought and read Peter Clarke's The Grinder's Manual, and have been beating it since (although I am technically still in the red at that limit).
Nice thanks for the tip. I definitely have to check out that book, looking on amazon now.
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08-24-2018 , 02:00 AM
Hey guys - ive been getting 4bet a lot lately. What is a standard reg % for 4betting?
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08-24-2018 , 05:11 AM
How's my WWSF?

Old style:


NEW style:


Also, any Bovada 5NL-50NL ZONE grinders wanna talk strat? PM me. 2 heads are better than 1...
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08-27-2018 , 03:09 AM
I am playing 9-handed 10NL on wsop.com. After 25,600 hands I am winning 18.8bb/100 and I see the flop 14.7% of the time. I look to only play in games with over $2 average pot and over 23% players seeing the flop. I consider myself a good player as I win 10bb/hr at $1-$2NL live and 8bb/hr at $2-$5NL live. Is 18.8bb/100 sustainable? What is a good win rate at the 9-handed .25-.50NL on wsop.com? Why is .25-.50NL the highest offered at 9-handed when $100-$200NL is the highest offered 6-handed?


Last edited by RedOak; 08-27-2018 at 03:16 AM.
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08-27-2018 , 02:09 PM
Being able to beat $2-$5 live does not make you a good player. Frankly, your graph for full-ring 10NL is more impressive.

Do you know your standard deviation in big blinds/100? That plus the number of hands you played should give an indication of how close to your "true" winrate at these stakes you are.

Standard error = (standard deviation) / sqrt( # hands played / 100 )

Many people on the forums will tell you that 25K hands isn't enough to be an indicator of whether you really are a winning player or not. I say, if your win rate is at least twice your standard error, you are beating the game to death.
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08-27-2018 , 05:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
Being able to beat $2-$5 live does not make you a good player. Frankly, your graph for full-ring 10NL is more impressive.

Do you know your standard deviation in big blinds/100? That plus the number of hands you played should give an indication of how close to your "true" winrate at these stakes you are.

Standard error = (standard deviation) / sqrt( # hands played / 100 )

Many people on the forums will tell you that 25K hands isn't enough to be an indicator of whether you really are a winning player or not. I say, if your win rate is at least twice your standard error, you are beating the game to death.
My stdev in bb/100 is 56.15 at 5c-10cNL, total hands 25,632 so my standard error is 3.50bb/100 vs +18.8bb/100 win rate.

For $2-$5NL live, my stdev per hour was $212 and win rate was $38.50/hr after 944 hours. That made my standard error = $6.90.

For $1-$2NL live, my stdev per hour was $120 and win rate was $19.40/hr after 1112 hours. That made my standard error = $3.60.

Here is a graph of my $2-$5 results by sessions ...
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08-28-2018 , 09:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RedOak
My stdev in bb/100 is 56.15 at 5c-10cNL, total hands 25,632 so my standard error is 3.50bb/100 vs +18.8bb/100 win rate.

For $2-$5NL live, my stdev per hour was $212 and win rate was $38.50/hr after 944 hours. That made my standard error = $6.90.

For $1-$2NL live, my stdev per hour was $120 and win rate was $19.40/hr after 1112 hours. That made my standard error = $3.60.

Here is a graph of my $2-$5 results by sessions ...
Very nice my man! How did you figure out your standard deviation?
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08-29-2018 , 01:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Very nice my man! How did you figure out your standard deviation?
keep a spreadsheet for each session. Record hours played, won/loss. Calculate average win per hour, and count # of sessions.
Then for each line of the spreadsheet calculate the variance as:
(1/#sessions)*(current session W/L - (current hours * average w/L per hour))^2/current session hours

Then add up all of those numbers and take the square root.

So a single line would look like this assuming you have 20 sessions of play:
say you played 4 hours, you won $350, and your average win rate is $25/hr then the variance for this session would be (1/20)*(350 - (4*25))^2/4 = 781.25 Then add up this 781.25 with the other 19 entries and take the square root of that number to get your standard deviation. Assume the stdev is $200. Then that means in 1 hour of play, there is a 68% chance your result will be $25 +/- $200, 95% it will be $25 +/- $400, and 99.7% it will be $25 +/- $600.
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09-03-2018 , 05:31 AM
ACR NL2 stats. Do I fold to 3bets and button steals too much? Should I be calling more from the blinds?





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