Quote:
Originally Posted by plusevHUN
I allways try to avoid coinflip situatons in cash game beacuse I know I am better than most of my opponents and there will be allways a situation when I can get my money in when I'm a 80-20 favourite or I can simply outplay them later. There are a lot of weak opponents in online microlimit cash games and there is allways a table to play at. I don't play live, but where I live there are no microlimit cash games, the smallest cash games are like NL200.
At the same time I try to get into coinflips in MTT (maybe that's why I am a losing player at MTT :P), 'cos the blinds are increasing fast, and there is no time to build a stack, so I can't play my agressive game before the bubble.
Bankroll is the most important thing in poker, if u cant afford to lose a coinflip situation in a cash game, there is something not ok...
your logic is very flawed imo. reread the OP.
if i get what you are saying then you would gladly fold when you are 51:49 ahead in a cash game getting 1:1 odds yet definitely call in a tournament. your reasoning should be the opposite, however it really depends on your M in tournaments.
there is a virtual infinite longrun in cash games as opposed to tournaments. tournaments have a definite end and have pay increases and there are a lot of things to consider when deciding to flip for all your chips. it would take an extensive article to articulate them all so i wont go through it. this is about cash games, not tournies, anyway.
lets say you are in the BB with 2c2d and there are 100bb effective stacks around the table. utg open shoves, everyone folds to you and utg flips over AcKc. your equity here is...
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
1,712,304 games 0.002 secs 856,152,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.298% 49.96% 00.33% 855521 5727.00 { 2c2d }
Hand 1: 49.702% 49.37% 00.33% 845329 5727.00 { AcKc }
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you are calling 100bb to win 101.5bb so you are getting slightly better than 1:1 odds. you are also a slightly better than 1:1 favorite. this is an obvious marginally +EV spot (ignoring rake to make a point cause it actually plays a role in this case). folding here would basically be throwing away about 1.6bb each time you do it. if you fold here 63 times in a row, you are throwing away a buy in. its not significant and the variance is extremely high but its still throwing away money.