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NL25, turn sizing NL25, turn sizing

11-15-2017 , 04:39 PM
PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 107.8 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB: 193.52 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 2)
BB: 179.76 BB (VPIP: 27.78, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 19)
UTG: 79.44 BB (VPIP: 43.24, PFR: 10.81, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 38)
MP: 103.68 BB (VPIP: 19.83, PFR: 17.24, 3Bet Preflop: 5.41, Hands: 119)
Hero (CO): 270.44 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 7 9

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.48 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.48 BB

Flop: (5.36 BB, 2 players) 6 4 T
BB checks, Hero bets 1.64 BB, BB calls 1.64 BB

Turn: (8.64 BB, 2 players) A
BB checks, Hero ....

No reads from V but this Q is versus population overall.

What bet size do u prefer here?

Spoiler:
I feel like I'd go with the overbet since we have all the nutted combos and the A shouldn't really hit V range, except 2 pairs.
But... Is overbet better to be used on boards like QJTr 2s (two spades), where we can hold the absolute nuts but our opponent really cant?
Am I using the overbet srat too much if I do it here?
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-15-2017 , 05:09 PM
I don't think you need to over bet this turn. If he has a 6 or a weak 10 I think he folds just as often to 6.5bb as he does to 15bb. I also can't think of a value hand where we would over bet and expect to get called very often.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-15-2017 , 06:03 PM
6 bbs turn bet w/ the plan of potting any river. This is a the perfect kind of run out to triple vs. your opponents range, especially at stakes like this where your opponents likely won't understand or consider that info as closely in their calling range.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-15-2017 , 06:05 PM
I love me some turn overbet strat :

Quote:
Originally Posted by AltoZZ
Am I using the overbet srat too much if I do it here?
Just like I commented in the other hand: IT DEPENDS ON YOUR RANGE! Nobody knows your range but you. All this takes is some math and knowledge of how to count combos.

Quote:
Originally Posted by simplelessons
I don't think you need to over bet this turn. If he has a 6 or a weak 10 I think he folds just as often to 6.5bb as he does to 15bb. I also can't think of a value hand where we would over bet and expect to get called very often.


I'd overbet this turn

edit: expanding farther:
Quote:
I also can't think of a value hand where we would over bet and expect to get called very often.
This is not how to look at using overbets.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-15-2017 , 06:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .isolated
Quote:
I also can't think of a value hand where we would over bet and expect to get called very often.
edit: expanding farther:
This is not how to look at using overbets.
My comment was more about balancing my range, I didn't word it well. I was thinking we wouldn't have a lot of good candidates on the value side, but I think I was wrong. I wouldn't overbet with AA or TT because we block a lot of the combos we want V to have, but 44 and 66 make sense for value overbets since they don't block anything.

Overbetting can't be bad, I just wonder what hands fold vs an overbet that call a psb.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 01:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .isolated
..Just like I commented in the other hand: IT DEPENDS ON YOUR RANGE! Nobody knows your range but you. All this takes is some math and knowledge of how to count combos....
Just realised that I made same kinda comment on the other hand I posted

Hope u are willing to take a sec and inform me;
So I do wanna go big with my 44,66,TT... which is like 9 combos total..

Let say we make it 1.5 pot size OTT, which gives V 1.67/1 odds on a call.
That means we need to have 1,67 value combos on every 1 bluff.
9 value combos => ~6 bluff combos.
These 6 combos being 75s, 78s, 79s, 89s, KJs, QJs..

Seems right to me.. what do u think.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 11:19 AM
Hey OP why do you bet so small on the flop? Is this standard at 25NL?
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 12:36 PM
Don't think you should overbet but you should bet fairly large. Shouldn't overbet because you still have hands like QT/JT/KT that are still willing to bet this turn for value/protection. This card however is better for you're range and does require a bet of a decent size.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 02:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AltoZZ
Hope u are willing to take a sec and inform me;
So I do wanna go big with my 44,66,TT... which is like 9 combos total..

Let say we make it 1.5 pot size OTT, which gives V 1.67/1 odds on a call.
That means we need to have 1,67 value combos on every 1 bluff.
9 value combos => ~6 bluff combos.
These 6 combos being 75s, 78s, 79s, 89s, KJs, QJs..

Seems right to me.. what do u think.
This seems good. You could expand both ranges by a tiny bit more.

Quote:
Shouldn't overbet because you still have hands like QT/JT/KT that are still willing to bet this turn for value/protection.
This doesn't matter. It's not like we're overbetting our range or just our bluffs. You can easily split up ranges to have an overbet, pot, 2/3-3/4 pot range on this turn and you should.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 03:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .isolated
This doesn't matter. It's not like we're overbetting our range or just our bluffs. You can easily split up ranges to have an overbet, pot, 2/3-3/4 pot range on this turn and you should.
Yes it does matter because you still want to get value from these sort of hands I said but they're incapable of overbetting this spot, simply owning ourselves especially when it is difficult for BB defense to continue against this bet OTT with anything < Ax, I am aware you can split ranges but this just makes us more transparent in what we have and shouldn't be done vs regs, against fish yeah sure this analysis can go out the window.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 03:36 PM
We'll agree to disagree. There are still strong hands in our range that can go for strong value. You can even switch hands in each range if you think it's a problem (omg balance!). There's something that's the exact same in each range in spite of the range that Alto listed. Finally, if you think that you're going to get exploited here considering the myriad of factors that come into play here and the size of the player pool at micro stakes, you're insane.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 03:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Herbbb
Yes it does matter because you still want to get value from these sort of hands I said but they're incapable of overbetting this spot, simply owning ourselves especially when it is difficult for BB defense to continue against this bet OTT with anything < Ax, I am aware you can split ranges but this just makes us more transparent in what we have and shouldn't be done vs regs, against fish yeah sure this analysis can go out the window.
Are you opposed to splitting ranges in general or just opposed to an overbet range?
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 03:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by shynepo3
Hey OP why do you bet so small on the flop? Is this standard at 25NL?
He's probably cbetting his range. It's a way to simplify the game tree when you have a range advantage. I used to do it a lot but I'm using it more conservatively now because it's difficult to build a big pot in some situations (like this one).
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-16-2017 , 05:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Renekton
Are you opposed to splitting ranges in general or just opposed to an overbet range?
No i'm not opposed to either but in this instance for both I just think they're unnecessary and arguably incorrect but thats just my opinion.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 08:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FreakDaddy
6 bbs turn bet w/ the plan of potting any river. This is a the perfect kind of run out to triple vs. your opponents range, especially at stakes like this where your opponents likely won't understand or consider that info as closely in their calling range.
This
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 09:49 AM
Could overbet or bet like 3/4 or bet 2/3 or 1/2 or 1/4 imo. Could also check lul.
idk about using the super small sizing on this flop
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 02:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrno1324
Could overbet or bet like 3/4 or bet 2/3 or 1/2 or 1/4 imo. Could also check lul.
idk about using the super small sizing on this flop
Why is that?

I do think this cbet size is ''perfect'' if the flop comes Q64r, not T64r (because of theres less connectivity)..
But this flop is still pretty dry imo..

Would appreciate ur opinion on this one.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 02:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Herbbb
Yes it does matter because you still want to get value from these sort of hands I said but they're incapable of overbetting this spot, simply owning ourselves especially when it is difficult for BB defense to continue against this bet OTT with anything < Ax, I am aware you can split ranges but this just makes us more transparent in what we have and shouldn't be done vs regs, against fish yeah sure this analysis can go out the window.
Our ranges are (in theory) still balanced and villain is still bluff catching so it shouldn't really matter. I suppose a really strong villain can recognize that we don't have any nutted hands in our <psb ott and really attack us, but all we need to do to stop from being exploited there is put maybe 1 combo of sets into that range. Obviously as we start to split or range more and more balancing gets a lot more complicated but thats poker.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 03:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AltoZZ
Why is that?

I do think this cbet size is ''perfect'' if the flop comes Q64r, not T64r (because of theres less connectivity)..
But this flop is still pretty dry imo..

Would appreciate ur opinion on this one.
Idk how "correct" this is but imo when choosing a bet size it's good to ask which size will make opponent's life suck the most.
If you bet this small he can defend with significantly more gutters (he'll have a lot flatting pre in BB) than on Q64.

He can also probably defend with even as weak as BDFD+overcard or even random overcards like KJo (way easier to have overcards on ten high than Q high flop).

That said if he'll just play nitty and never xr hard to fault risking the smallest amount to get the fold or see a turn IP.
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 04:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrno1324
Idk how "correct" this is but imo when choosing a bet size it's good to ask which size will make opponent's life suck the most.
I've never heard of that approach before. It sounds interesting.

Just to throw an odd one out there: I base my sizing strategy, in part, on visibility on future streets, but I'm not implying because of a static/dynamic board . Very rarely does this actually depend on my hand, but at times, it has to.

Quote:
If you bet this small he can defend with significantly more gutters (he'll have a lot flatting pre in BB) than on Q64.

He can also probably defend with even as weak as BDFD+overcard or even random overcards like KJo (way easier to have overcards on ten high than Q high flop).
This is pretty much how I deal with these small bets. I'll call sometimes but the majority of the time I'm c/r'ing because I don't think people who bet small realize that when they're unbalanced, their opponent is getting a great price to do so
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .isolated
This seems good. You could expand both ranges by a tiny bit more.

This doesn't matter. It's not like we're overbetting our range or just our bluffs. You can easily split up ranges to have an overbet, pot, 2/3-3/4 pot range on this turn and you should.
isolated, can you expand more on splitting ranges here. how/why?
NL25, turn sizing Quote
11-17-2017 , 11:41 PM
what draws are we overbetting and 3/4 pot if we are splitting the range?
NL25, turn sizing Quote

      
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