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Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay

10-17-2017 , 12:48 PM
Hello,
villian unknown
bet/call or Bet shove as played at the turn?

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $25.00
SB: $69.73 (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 28)
BB: $29.34
UTG: $29.07 (VPIP: 15.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 43)
MP: $28.88 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
CO: $37.76

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A K

UTG raises to $0.75, MP calls $0.75, fold, Hero raises to $3.25, fold, fold, fold, MP calls $2.50

Flop: ($7.60, 2 players) 8 4 6
MP checks, Hero bets $3.75, MP calls $3.75

Turn: ($15.10, 2 players) A
MP checks, Hero bets $5.75, MP raises to $11.50, Hero raises to $18.00 and is all-in, fold

Hero wins $36.39
Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay Quote
10-17-2017 , 03:20 PM
You want to try and get him to bluff river for 6.50 into ~40? Make your mind up on the turn and make him stack off with any draws he has.

The fold made me lol. Wonder if we induced the misclick.
Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay Quote
10-17-2017 , 03:41 PM
No point to bet/calling turn IMO. If we shove, it's hard for villain to fold anything when he's getting 6.50:38.10 or about 6:1 odds. Like, the only scenario where I can think calling is better is if villain misclick min-bluffraises turn with a 0-outer and would bluff river but not call a turn shove, which seems unlikely.

We're pretty high in our range OTT (I don't squeeze 44, 66, 88), and so I think folding is also out of the question.

Not sure if I c-bet flop. I think I do, but it's kind of a weird spot. Even though villain can have all the nutted sets that we can't have, we still have a pretty decisive equity advantage with our range vs. villain's range (at least from what I'm showing in Equilab) and that means we should bet fairly frequently, but it feels odd to me on this texture. What hands do people check back OTF?
Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay Quote
10-17-2017 , 08:11 PM
Probably c-betting flop villain appears fishy flatting twice pre so whilst likely having pocket pairs can also have KQs/QJs/JTs/T9s and like putting pressure on this more capped range on flop especially with bdfd. Turn is interesting, not sure how many worse hands actually call but would likely shove the $18 into $15.10 because of awkward rivers with weaker players likely to stack off here (esp with AJss/AQss/ATss).
Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay Quote
10-19-2017 , 05:20 AM
Think u can make an argument for calling his c/r ott...

We will get the money in no matter what and by 3betting u are folding his airballs (which I think he really shouldn't have in this spot, but u never know)....

Such a weird fold from V tho....
Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay Quote
10-19-2017 , 08:31 AM
^If we hadn't seen that villain folded we'd surely be assuming he never (or close to it) folds, he can't fold any draws or made hands on the turn for pot odds, and he's likely never bluffing river given how little money will be behind.

I'm far more concerned about stacking any stupid draws than trying to get him to bluff his $6.50 into $40 on the river.
Nl25 squeezed Aks turnplay Quote

      
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