Quote:
Originally Posted by The Bukafax
Fold to a 3b that often? Jeez! That's odd.
I think PIO solver would give similar 4bet/fold results for a hand like AQo. This is because, as others have mentioned, you under realize your equity with a hand like AQo as a call. It won't be easy calling multiple streets on a lot of board textures to realize your equity, and sometimes, your outs are tainted. For example, you think you have 2 overcards, but AK counterfeits your AQo when an ace hits on the turn. On K high boards you have just 1 over card to improve, and you don't have the 10.9% chance of flopping the nut flush draw compared to when you have AQs. And if you 4bet all your AQo, you have too many of those combos in your 4bet range. If you normally 4bet AK+, QQ+ that is 36 combos, adding 12 combos of AQo means 26.1% of your 4betting range is of the off-suit variety that are often behind a 4-bet calling range.
Anticlimactically, I think the answer to "should I 4bet AQo?" is sometimes. As for the flop play, I would bet smaller for 2 reasons:
1) The board is dry, so there aren't many high equity draws we are trying to force to pay us. And most hands that called this flop, will also call the turn. Leading to the second point.
2) Your sizing on the flop didn't even leave you a pot size bet on the turn. So if your plan was to barrel, you would want to bet smaller (~1/3) on the flop, so you can pot sized bet/over bet on the turn.
I would like to add that at lower stakes with zero information on villain, your barrels should be value heavy, and not worry too much about being GTO balanced. This is because population tendencies at lower stakes is to call down with hands a bluff should be folding.
Sorry for the long post.