Quote:
Originally Posted by Iblis
BDNFD + 2 overs not enough equity?
Vs a full stacked reg sure.
General fish tendency is to call wider than they bet.
Vs a short stack fish we end up bloating the pot relative to effective stack with a hand that has around 25% equity when behind. What better hands do you think he folds? You are just betting for protection against Ts9s type hands, which we don't really need at this point.
Our BDNFD will be more profitable the times we can get to the turn deeper stacked (ie, when it goes check/check) and we have more stack depth to bluff with, more equity (we improve to 33% on club turns vs most of his range), and are up against a weaker range. Up against a fish we should exploit to being more value heavy and I would rather just wait to pick up equity before I started bluffing.
I also think this hand is strong enough to x/call flop and win at a decent frequency when his line is stab -> give up or we improve.