Quote:
Originally Posted by Tamol
Overdoing it tbh for me. There are so many bluffs you can have on the turn, when you 2x pot you have to take it down there at a high frequency for the bet to be profitable, as the board is so wet he'll call a lot with any j or any q. Same goes with size on river, you can make him fold low pairs, better ax etc. for less than a jam.
The k could be a scare card if he's holding a j or q, but what are you really repping when you overbet the turn then jam the river? AJ is only hand, but then would AJ 2x pot the turn? Looks suspect. AK doesn't need to bet so big on the turn as you have showdown.
Your card removal is ok not holding a spade or diamond so it's never going to be too bad, but just think you can achieve what you're trying by betting smaller. If I had a made hand I'd find your line kind of spewy.
Bet bigger on flop too.
Would I really only jam AJ for value though? What about J9? Is jamming sets or even 2pair way too thin? I guess I have to get called by something right?
But I think their range is pretty capped right? Best hand I can really see them showing up with is like QK? QT that didn't raise flop? Or maybe Q3s etc. I really can't see them having better than 2 pair here (I guess they can rarely have some straights too?) but overall I think they're pretty capped.
The way I understand this spot is that since they're pretty capped, I can be getting it pretty thinly since they have to call down pretty thinly as well, considering they just don't have that many monsters.
Is that incorrect? Also, I guess I'd rather be bluffing with a hand that blocks the straight or even strong top pair?