Here is how the hand played out. When I initially saw it, the way villain played kinda made sense. The more I think about it, the more unsure I am about the sizings.
I don't think this is a great spot for a flop 1/3 or 1/4 pot range bet. I just won't be folding enough to that. Effectively, I'll only be folding low pp, suited connectors below 76s which don't have two
and maybe AK if that is in range. Not even sure I'd fold AK otf to a 1/3 pot. I think I like going bigger when I do bet on this flop though.
Turn, well, he has a hand which would call most raises, so a x/c makes sense. And river, I can see the merit in betting his hand. He might get called by AQ, AT, and A9. But I think in that case, he should go lower, maybe 1/3 pot (so that my raise can then make some sense). That would involve including the odd bluff (maybe a KTs, K9s, QTs, Q9s type hand), but he'd also have to balance it with some nutty hands to call a jam or jam over a raise, like AJ if AJo is in his range. My guess is he wasn't thinking about that last portion of his range though, maybe not even the bluff portion. These spots where the ranges have so many strong hands are pretty tricky to play though.
PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 108.36 BB
SB: 143.48 BB
BB: 105.48 BB
UTG: 100 BB
MP: 18.72 BB
CO: 129.12 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q
J
fold,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 3 BB,
SB raises to 10 BB,
fold,
Hero calls 7 BB
Flop: (21 BB, 2 players) J
9
T
SB bets 11.04 BB,
Hero calls 11.04 BB
Turn: (43.08 BB, 2 players) J
SB checks,
Hero checks
River: (43.08 BB, 2 players) A
SB bets 22.64 BB,
Hero raises to 45.28 BB,
SB calls 22.64 BB
Hero shows Q
J
(Three of a Kind, Jacks)
(Pre 40%, Flop 75%, Turn 82%)
SB mucks K
A
(Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 60%, Flop 25%, Turn 18%)
Hero wins 127.64 BB